Some encouraging news out of Georgia today:
HOW THIS POLL QUESTION WAS CONDUCTED: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,950 adults from the state of Georgia 07/15/18 through 07/19/18. Of the adults, 2,423 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 688 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted in the Republican runoff, or to be likely to return a ballot before the Tuesday 07/24/18 deadline.
The poll indicates whichever Republican wins Tuesday will have a close race with Democrat Stacey Abrams in November. The poll shows Cagle beats Abrams 46 to 44% in a hypothetical matchup now, and Kemp wins 45 to 43%. The “credibility interval” for that question is plus or minus 4.3 percent.
The poll questions were:
1) If the November election for Georgia governor were today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Republican Casey Cagle and Democrat Stacey Abrams, who would you vote for?
- Casey Cagle 45%
- Stacey Abrams 43%
- Undecided 12%
* Credibility interval for this question: ± 4.7%
2) If the November election for Georgia governor were today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Republican Brian Kemp and Democrat Stacey Abrams, who would you vote for?
- Brian Kemp 46%
- Stacey Abrams 44%
- Undecided 10%
* Credibility interval for these questions was ± 4.3%
A lot of undecideds and the GOP nominee hasn’t been chosen yet. Still a good spot to be in for Abrams. The poll also has Brain Kemp leading Casey Cagle in the GOP runoff 40-34. In case you were wondering, Trump does have a dog in this runoff:
President Trump threw his political clout behind a hard-line candidate in the contested primary for governor of Georgia on Wednesday, backing Brian Kemp, a state official who has run television ads showing him wielding a shotgun and vowing to “round up” illegal immigrants.
Mr. Trump’s support could well decide a close nomination fight between Mr. Kemp and Casey Cagle, Georgia’s Republican lieutenant governor. The two men are competing in a July 24 runoff election after neither managed to win a majority in the first round of voting in May.
The eventual Republican nominee will compete in the general election in November against Stacey Abrams, a former Democratic leader in the Georgia House of Representatives who is vying to become the first black woman to serve as governor of a state.
A contest between Mr. Kemp, Georgia’s secretary of state, and Ms. Abrams would likely be one of the most hotly contested in the country, and it could represent an important cultural test for a traditionally conservative state that has grown more diverse and cosmopolitan in recent years. Mr. Trump won Georgia in 2016 by a clear, but not overwhelming, margin, and Democrats believe it could be a swing state in 2020.
Let’s let the GOP duke it. In the meantime, let’s get ready to win the general election. Click here to donate and get involved with Abrams’ campaign.