If the Daily Kos community was deciding this, it would be a four-way race.
|
4/15 |
4/2 |
3/18 |
2/18 |
2/5 |
1/22 |
1/8 |
BERNIE SANDERS |
40 |
33 |
38 |
44 |
13 |
12 |
11 |
PETE BUTTIGIEG |
21 |
18 |
6 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
ELIZABETH WARREN |
12 |
12 |
12 |
10 |
17 |
18 |
22 |
KAMALA HARRIS |
9 |
11 |
11 |
15 |
27 |
27 |
14 |
JOE BIDEN |
5 |
8 |
- |
8 |
11 |
13 |
14 |
BETO O’ROURKE |
3 |
6 |
10 |
4 |
5 |
8 |
15 |
AMY KLOBUCHAR |
2 |
2 |
3 |
6 |
6 |
- |
- |
JAY INSLEE |
2 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
- |
- |
- |
UNSURE |
3 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
6 |
6 |
9 |
OTHER |
3 |
2 |
8 |
2 |
4 |
5 |
9
|
(SAMPLE SIZE) |
35.5K |
40.2K |
52.5K |
56K |
42.2K |
28K |
35.5K |
Bernie’s online machine rebounded, after an off week two weeks ago. Mayor Pete is continuing to grow at the expense of everyone else except Warren, who is holding rock-steady with her support.
I was expecting Klobuchar and Inslee to be relegated this week, but both held on by exceeding the 1 percent threshold. Barely. With “other” at just 3 percent, it’s clear there is little appetite for the rest of the massive field. Heck, there’s little appetite for Biden, as he continues his slow-and-steady slide into “go away” territory.
Do you want to see the power of the Bernie online machine?
Here we are at 1,000 votes, predominantly visitors to Daily Kos proper:
Buttigieg and Warren at 26 and 25, respectively. Harris at 16 and Bernie at 13.
Here we are at 4,000 votes, as the call went out to the Berniesphere:
30,000 votes later, we ended up where we ended up. What’s actually impressive is that Buttigieg only lost two more points despite that onslaught of Bernie-centric voters. He’s got legit traction. (Yes, to my chagrin.)
This also tells me that while Warren and Harris both have strong support with the most loyal and informed Daily Kos audience—those who regularly frequent the website—they don’t have the kind of broad outside support apart from our corner of the world. Buttigieg does, which allowed him to limit his losses as the vote counts rose with outside visitors.
Meanwhile, has anyone had a more dramatic flameout than Beto? He should’ve run for Senate again.