Just a link and some random analysis.
poll.qu.edu/…
Biden leads 37 to 15 for Sanders to 13 for Warren. Slight drop for Biden, slight gain for Sanders.
In the poll, Biden and Pete Buttigieg are the only politicians listed with favorable ratings that are not under water. Biden at 49-39. Buttigieg at 23-19. Harris is slightly under water at 27-30. Maybe she and Buttigieg have some room to grow?
trump approval -19 at 38-57 and 54% of voters will definately not vote for him in 2020 compared to 31% who will vote for him. That number has been holding relatively steady since March.
A few takes from Nate Silver.
Post-announcement bounces usually do fade, so this is probably the New Normal for Biden. The question is whether he holds in the mid-30s, or falls back to the high-20s/low-30's (where he was pre-announcement).
A little bit of a reversion for Biden into the mid-30s from the high 30s. Bernie's maybe gained back a point or two. Warren polling relatively well and is probably in 3rd place now.
One from Harry Enten.
For the most part, the Q-Pac poll looks the same internally... Biden dominating in the mod/con lane. Warren ahead in the very lib lane... but a lane that just isn't that big and one she isn't dominating.
One from Nate Cohn.
There's a long time for this to change. but for now…
Fav/Unfav (among WWC, fav unfav)
Biden 49/39 (37/51)
Sanders 41/48 (31/61)
Warren 32/41 (19/53)
Harris 27/30 (17/41)