Here’s the link
Being familiar with Amy Klobuchar as a Minnesotan, she was a natural first choice for me. As her campaign initially stumbled I supported Warren. But all along I knew if Amy broke 5% in the polls and made the November debates, I’d be back on board. She did both, so I decided if she broke 10% polling by January I’d keep backing Amy. Not even half way through december Amy has surged past 10% and qualified for the december debate.
Here’s a link to more polling: link
Yup, those polls are old, from 2003-4. At this point in the race, december 16 years ago, John Kerry was polling at 9% in 3rd place behind Howard Dean at 26% and Dick Gephart at 22%. On caucus night Kerry won with 38% of the delegates with Edwards winning 32% and Dean 18%. Dean’s “Iowa Perfect Storm” was overhyped as many winter storms are, and Iowa democrats went for the moderate they trusted instead of Dean’s progressive promises.
Also notable is Warren’s drop in the polls… Perhaps Iowa democrats flirt with the progressives, then vote for the moderate candidates?