States rushing to reopen are likely making a deadly error, coronavirus models and experts warn — (Washington Post, 4/22/20)
“There are no easy answers for the phase that comes next, especially with a continued lack of testing, contact tracing and detailed guidance from federal health agencies, disease experts said … Many of the earliest reopenings will probably be confusing, chaotic, risky affairs … Some of those same states are still struggling to contain outbreaks.
“ ‘As a country, we’re unprepared not just logistically but mentally for this next phase,’ said Michael T. Osterholm, a University of Minnesota infectious-disease expert. He worries most Americans do not grasp the long, hard months facing them and the likelihood of repeated surges of the virus.
“ ‘For a while, people were told all we need is to get past the peak. Then, they started hearing all we need is testing. Meanwhile, the president keeps telling everyone that things are going to reopen in a matter of weeks,’ Osterholm said. ‘The way you prepare people for a sprint and marathon are very different. As a country, we are utterly unprepared for the marathon ahead.’ …
“The vast majority of Americans are still believed to be uninfected, making them like dry kindling on a forest floor. Barring a vaccine or treatment, the virus will keep burning until it runs out of fuel.
“ ‘The trick is to keep that burn at a controlled rate,’ Osterholm said. ‘We have focused so much on how we are dying from the virus that we have not focused enough on how to live with the virus.’ ...
“Given the dangers involved in reopening, what states desperately need are a warning system and suppression tool to prevent infections from cresting again into the deadly peaks the United States saw in March and April.
“But states are jumping into their experiments without the two tools deployed by almost every other advanced nation: massive testing and contact tracing”.
This is a long and well-written article — I have only collected highlights. I encourage you to read the whole thing