With the election coming up in a few days, here is my previews on the ballot measures and referendums that Americans will be voting on Tuesday (or earlier if you already have done so).
Voting Rights
Alaska Measure 1 (Voter Registration) | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Safe Pass.
Missouri Amendment 6 (Voter Suppression, Voter ID) | Recommendation: Vote NO. Projection: Safe Pass.
Elections/Redistricting
Colorado Amendment 71 (Minimum Passage Threshold Change) | Recommendation: Vote NO. Projection: Safe Pass.
Colorado Prop 107 (Open Primaries) | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Safe Pass.
Maine Question 5 (Ranked Choice Voting) | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Safe Pass.
Pennsylvania Amendment [1] (Term Limits, Retirement Age, Courts, Judiciary) | Recommendation: Vote NO. Projection: Lean Fail,
South Dakota Amendment T (Nonpartisan Redistricting) | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Safe Pass.
South Dakota Amendment V (Nonpartisan Elections) | Recommendation: To quote Ted Cruz, “vote your conscience.” Projection: Tossup.
Campaign Finances
California Prop 59, (Overturn Citizens United v. FEC) | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Likely Pass.
Missouri Amendment 2 (Campaign Contributions) | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Safe Pass.
South Dakota Initiated Measure 22 (Campaign Finances, Campaign Contributions) | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Safe Pass.
Washington I-735 (Campaign Finances) | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Safe Pass.
Marijuana Legalization
Medical:
Arkansas Amendment 6 | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Tossup/Tilt Pass.
Florida Amendment 2| Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Pass [60%+ to pass].
Montana I-182 | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Safe Fail.
North Dakota Measure 5 | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Tilt Pass. Full Legalization:
Arizona Prop 205 | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Likely Pass.
California Prop 64 | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Safe Pass.
Maine Amendment 1 | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Likely Pass.
Massachusetts Question 4 | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Likely Pass.
Nevada Question 2 | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Lean Pass.
Health Care
California Prop 52 (Hospital Fee Revenue) | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Likely Pass.
California Prop 61 (Drug Prices) | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Tossup.
Colorado Amendment 69 (Single Payer) | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Safe Fail.
Minimum Wage/Paid Sick Leave
Arizona Proposition 206 (Minimum Wage, Paid Sick Leave) | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Safe Pass.
Colorado Amendment 70 (Minimum Wage) | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Safe Pass.
Maine Question 4 (Minimum Wage) | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Safe Pass.
South Dakota Referred Law 20 (Minimum Wage Decrease) | Recommendation: Vote NO. Projection: Safe NO.
Washington I-1433 (Minimum Wage, Paid Sick Leave) | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Safe Pass.
Gun Safety/Gun Rights
California Prop 63 (Background Checks, Large Capacity Magazine Ban) | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Safe Pass.
Maine Question 3 (Background Checks) | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Safe Pass.
Nevada Question 1 (Background Checks) | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Safe Pass.
Washington I-1491 (Extreme Risk Protection Orders) | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Safe Pass.
Taxes
California Prop 55 (Income Tax) | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Safe Pass.
Illinois Amendment [1] (Road Tax) | Recommendation: Vote your conscience. Projection: Safe Pass.
Maine Question 2 (Income Tax) | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Safe Pass.
Missouri Amendment 3 (Tobacco Tax) | Recommendation: Vote NO. Projection: Lean Fail.
Oklahoma Question 779 (Sales Tax) | Recommendation: Vote NO. Projection: Safe Fail.
Oregon Measure 97 (Business Tax) | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Likely Fail.
Death Penalty
California Prop 62 (Death Penalty Repeal) | Recommendation: Vote your conscience. Projection: Likely Pass.
California Prop 66 (Death Penalty Procedures Reform) | Recommendation: Vote your conscience. Projection: Lean Fail.
Nebraska Referendum 426 (Death Penalty Reinstatement, Veto Override) | Recommendation: Vote your conscience. Projection: Safe Repeal.
Oklahoma Question 776 (Death Penalty) | Recommendation: Vote your conscience. Projection: Safe YES.
NOTE: If both 62 and 66 pass, whichever of the two measures has the more yes votes is the one that takes effect.
Unions/Labor
Alabama Amendment 8 (Right To Work For Less, Union Membership) | Recommendation: Vote NO. Projection: Likely Pass.
Virginia Question 1 (Right To Work For Less, Union Membership) | Recommendation: Vote NO. Projection: Tossup.
Education
Alabama Amendment 1 (Term Limits, College Board) | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Safe Pass.
California Prop 58 (Languages, Bilingual Education) | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Safe Pass.
Georgia Amendment 1 (Schools, School Reform) | Recommendation: Vote NO. Projection: Safe Fail.
Massachusetts Question 2 (Charter Schools, Charter School Expansion) | Recommendation: Vote NO. Projection: Lean Fail.
Abortion/Reproductive Justice
none.
LGBTQ
none.
Environment/Energy
California Prop 67 (Plastic Bag Bans, Veto Override, Environment) | Recommendation: Vote your conscience. Projection: Likely YES.
Florida Amendment 1 (Solar Energy) | Recommendation: Vote NO. Projection: Likely Pass [60%+ Pass].
Washington I-732 (Carbon Tax, Sales Tax, Energy) | Recommendation: Vote your conscience. Projection: Safe Fail.
Grab Bag
California Prop 60 (Pornography, Condoms) | Recommendation: Vote NO. Projection: Likely Pass.
Colorado Amendment T (Forced Labor, Prison Reform, Criminal Justice Reform, Unpaid Labor) | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Safe Pass.
Colorado Amendment 106 (Right To Die, End Of Life, Assisted Suicide) | Recommendation: Vote NO. Projection: Likely Pass.
Indiana Question 1 (Hunting, Fishing, Right to Hunt and Fish) | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Safe Pass.
Kansas Amendment 1 (Hunting, Fishing, Right to Hunt and Fish) | Recommendation: Vote YES. Projection: Safe Pass.
Vote wisely when you cast your ballot.
Next: Missouri and Illinois.
My Schedule:
- 11.05.2016 (Afternoon): Ballot Measures.
- 11.05.2016 (Evening/Overnight): Missouri and Illinois.
- 11.06.2016 (Afternoon): Gubernatorial
- 11.06.2016 (Evening/Overnight): House
- 11.07.2016 (Afternoon): Senate
- 11.08.2016 (Overnight): POTUS/VP + Final predictions + GOTV