about which you can read in this Post story.
Some key takeaways:
She leads Sanders among black voters 63 percent to 33 percent, according to this week’s Post-U. Md. poll, and among women 60 percent to 35 percent. Clinton has even larger advantages among moderate and conservative Democrats (63 percent to 30 percent) and voters ages 50 and older (66 percent to 26 percent).
As for key info on Sanders:
Mirroring many primaries so far, Sanders performs best with those who are younger, leading Clinton with voters under age 40 by a margin of 61 percent to 38 percent. Sanders runs roughly even with Clinton among white Democratic voters, 46 to 47 percent. The self-described Democratic socialist leaned on a winning margin among whites in each of his four state victories where exit polls were conducted.
A couple of comments.
Making the break point for younger voters as under 40 understates how Sanders does with those under 30.
Sanders only winning whites by a single point is a real problem, because the Democratic primary electorate in MD will be significantly African-American, the normal percentage being amplified by a simultaneous Senate Primary including African-American Congresswoman Donna Edwards.
in 2008, Obama carried the MD primary by 60.66 — 35.78. So far in this election in states with a heavy proportion of African-Americans that were won by Obama in 2008, Clinton has tended to win with approximately the Obama 2008 percentage.
And looking back to that 2008 primary and its exit polls,
White 53 percent - for Clinton by a margin of 52-42
African-American 37 percent — for Obama by a margin of 84-15.
Hispanic-Latino 4 percent — for Clinton by a margin of 55-45.
Dave Wasserman’s delegate target for MD is a 53-42 for Clinton, equaling roungly 56% for Clinton. It is my guess that unless something totally unusual happens in NY to change dynamics, Clinton will overperform and Sanders underperform in MD.