It’s early, we’re 18 months from election day. But it’s crystal clear that Texas is in play in 2020.
In general election matchups, Trump is in statistical dead heats with four of the top six Democratic opponents and leads the other two. In a Donald Trump versus Joe Biden matchup, the two are almost exactly even at 50% for Biden and 49% for Trump. Beto O’Rourke versus Trump is very similar, with 50% going to Beto and 50% supporting Trump. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren are the other Democrats within the margin, with Trump receiving 51% to Sanders’ 49% and Trump leading Warren 53% to 47%. The rest fall outside of the margin, with Kamala Harris and Pete Buttigieg each receiving 46% support to Trump’s 54%. — emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/...
538 rates Emerson a decent B+ with almost no bias (0.1%).
Part of this poll is explained by how terrible Trump is. But a big part of it is down to Beto O’Rourke fighting a hard campaign and organizing Texas. Texas is 38 electoral votes. There’s no reason for Democrats to ignore it, or any other state.
— @subirgrewal