There have now been about 12K reported Covid-19 deaths in the US.
It is almost certain that this number is wrong, since (a really tiny number) could have been people who would have died of other causes, and a (much bigger number) were those who were missed.
There is an story about excess deaths in the Italian town of Nembro, where the authors note that there are 31 deaths from the Corona Virus, but about 123 excess deaths (158 total deaths against a normal of about 35) in the town, indicating that deaths from the pandemic are four times worse than reported.
It’s a small sample, Nembro has a population of about 11,600, but it does indicate how excess deaths are a better metric for the deaths from the pandemic. (BTW, I KNOW that the 123 number may include deaths caused by disruption to the healthcare system that are not directly attributed to Covid-19)
So I know the total deaths in the USA of March 2018 (249,000) and 2019 (253,000) and if I get the deaths for March 2020, and interpolate, then any deaths above 257,000 would be excess deaths, and one could conclude that these result in some manner from Covid-19, since we didn’t have any other disasters in March 2020.
The official stats show about 4000 deaths in march, which would imply about 261,000 deaths (253,000 [2019] + 4000 [interpolation] + 4000 [Covid deaths]), but my not particularly sophisticated guess is that the total death rate will be something near 270,000, indicating an actual death rate much higher than reported.
So, where would I find this data, and when would it be reported?