• PA-Sen: AdImpact reports that WinSenate, an affiliate of the Senate Majority PAC, has booked at least $33.6 million in fall TV time to help Democratic Sen. Bob Casey secure a fourth term.
• DE-AL: State Treasurer Colleen Davis has dropped out of the Democratic primary for Delaware's open House seat, citing health issues. In a statement, Davis said she had a double mastectomy and had her ovaries removed after learning she carries "a genetic mutation that poses a risk for cancer."
Davis' departure leaves a two-way race for the Democratic nod between state Sen. Sarah McBride and Eugene Young, the director of the state's Housing Authority. McBride outraised Young $455,000 to $104,000 in the fourth quarter of 2023 and finished the year with an $850,000 to $200,000 edge in cash on hand.
• NY-04: State Sen. Kevin Thomas announced on Thursday that he was dropping his bid for New York's 4th Congressional District, leaving former Hempstead Town Supervisor Laura Gillen as the main Democrat looking to unseat first-term Republican Rep. Anthony D'Esposito. Gillen, who lost to D'Esposito 52-48 in 2022, outraised Thomas last year and reported having about $500,000 in her campaign account at the end of 2023. D'Epositio, meanwhile, finished the year with more than $1.2 million banked.
• SC-03: The Post and Courier's Caitlin Byrd reports that nurse practitioner Sheri Biggs is spending $50,000 to air her first ad months ahead of the June GOP primary to replace retiring Rep. Jeff Duncan and calls it "part of a substantial six-figure TV plan." The spot touts Biggs' conservative credentials and military background as an officer in the Air National Guard.
Biggs' early spending in our first indication that the first-time contender will have the resources to get her name out in the contest for this dark red seat. Her most notable intra-party foe is state Rep. Stewart Jones, a co-founder of the state-level Freedom Caucus in the South Carolina House.
• MO-03: Less than two weeks after launching his bid for Missouri's open 3rd Congressional District, former Boone County Clerk Taylor Burks has ended his campaign. In a statement, Burks said that the subsequent entry of "another strong central Missouri candidate" made "the chances of success for either of us nearly impossible while both of us are in the race." While Burks didn't name the candidate in question, that newcomer is former state Sen. Kurt Schaefer, whose old legislative district included all of Boone County.
• TN-07: So much for that: Two weeks after his surprise retirement announcement, Republican Rep. Mark Green declared backsies and said on Thursday that he'd run for a fourth term after all. Green, a member of the House Freedom Caucus, had declared that Congress was "so broken" when he originally announced he would not seek reelection, telling Axios that his experience in office "feels like a lot of something for nothing." It is not clear why those views might have since changed.
Remarkably, Green is now the fourth House Republican to call it quits this cycle only to later reverse course, according to data tracked by Daily Kos Elections. Previously, Texas Rep. Pat Fallon said he'd run for his old Senate seat but changed his mind the next day; Indiana Rep. Victoria Spartz told everyone she'd retire in February of last year only to pull an about-face a year later; and Montana Rep. Matt Rosendale, who teased a Senate bid for nine months, yanked the plug on his campaign after just a week and decided to run for the House again.
Each of those returnees has been greeted differently: Fallon's dalliance was too brief for any would-be replacements to even start chatting about possible bids, but several Republicans who launched campaigns during Spartz's long sojourn expressed deep hostility after she sought to bogart her seat. Meanwhile, Rosendale's primary opponents have largely remained mum, but none seem to have bailed just yet.
Only one notable Republican entered the race for Tennessee's conservative 7th District after Green's putative retirement, former state Rep. Brandon Ogles. He, too has yet to say anything, though given how little time he's been on the trail, it wouldn't be surprising if Ogles cleared the way for Green.