• OH-Sen: An internal poll conducted by Fabrizio Lee for businessman Bernie Moreno finds him leading Secretary of State Frank LaRose 31-21 in Ohio's March 19 GOP primary for Senate, while state Sen. Matt Dolan is at 19 and 27% of voters are undecided. That's a jump from Moreno's last survey in early December, when he led LaRose by a much smaller 23-19 margin, a jump his pollster attributes to the endorsement Donald Trump issued just before Christmas. There have been no other recent polls.
Both Dolan's campaign and LaRose's allies at Leadership for Ohio Fund PAC, though, seem to agree that Moreno is the candidate who needs to be taken down during the time remaining. The PAC is taking advantage of what it tells Cleveland.com is a "seven-figure infusion" to air a new spot portraying Moreno as anti-gun.
Dolan's newest commercial, meanwhile, goes after Moreno for suggesting that the descendants of Union soldiers killed in the Civil War deserve reparations. Moreno made those comments to counter calls for reparations for the descendants of enslaved Black people, but Dolan's narrator argues the candidate was pushing for "slavery reparations."
• AL-01: A new poll from Auburn University at Montgomery just ahead of Tuesday's primaries finds Rep. Jerry Carl leading Rep. Barry Moore 43-35 while 22% of voters remain undecided. There's been no other usable polling released for this incumbent vs. incumbent battle for Alabama's conservative 1st District, including by either candidate or their allies.
• SC-04: Republican Rep. William Timmons, who faces a primary challenge from a far-right state lawmaker, just earned an endorsement from Donald Trump as he seeks a fourth term.
In November, state Rep. Adam Morgan launched a bid to wrest the GOP nomination away from Timmons, who has a very conservative record but has been attacked by extremists for supporting former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy. Morgan, meanwhile, is a founder of his chamber's Freedom Caucus and claims Timmons is "controlled" by the "Uniparty."
While Morgan hasn't raised much for his campaign, neither has Timmons, who has reason to worry about his chances: Last year, he won his primary with just 53% of the vote while three little-known candidates split the remainder. Notably, Trump endorsed him before that race, too.
And not long after that election, Timmons appeared on several radio shows to address rumors that he'd used the powers of his office to conceal an extra-marital affair. While he denied that he'd abused his position, he didn't deny being unfaithful to his wife, who filed for divorce shortly after he won reelection that fall to South Carolina's conservative 4th District.