Although originally projected to win 36 of 71 delegates after her narrow 49.6% over Sanders’ 49.4%, it seems — as with Nevada — Hillary’s local delegates didn’t all show up at the April 7th meetings. and the result is that Bernie looks to have won Missouri!
Progressive Army reports:
Reported delegate allocation by the Missouri Democratic Party shows that 681 delegates (51.4%) were allocated to Bernie Sanders and 644 delegates (48.6%) allocated for Hillary Clinton.
What does this mean for the projections?
The table below shows that if all District-Level delegates show up to the upcoming conventions, Sanders should get 37 pledged delegates and Clinton would get 34 delegates.
With the change in the delegate count, Clinton is now leading by 204 delegates with 1,304 pledged delegates compared to 1,100 delegates for Sanders. This is much lower than the 250 delegate gap reported by the Associated Press. It’s even lower than the 214 delegate gap reported by the Sanders campaign.
This is becoming a pattern. If I had to guess, the targeting of absentee and early voters produces voters who can’t turn up for the 2nd round of a caucus.
I can’t help but think of this story, albiet from Massachusetts, that cropped up a few weeks ago where a woman alleges her mentally disabled 53 year old brother was bussed, along with the rest of residents of his group home, to the polls and told to vote for Hillary in exchange for a MacDonalds. You can listen to the CBSBoston podcast online.
Monday, Apr 11, 2016 · 11:41:27 AM +00:00
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charlieg
Look, I’m not alleging that the Clinton campaign had anything to do with coercing votes. The podcast is clear about that too (if you bothered to listen).
I’m saying there is a well organised effort of outreach to homes for the elderly and the disabled on behalf of the Clinton campaign — helping people vote is to be commended.
All unproven allegations aside, if those people send in absentee ballots to a caucus, do you think they will also attend the mass meetings?