One issue many progressives embrace is the National Popular Vote Compact that is designed to ensure that the popular vote of the people overrules the obsolete Electoral College. Lately it has gained steam with the potential of passing in Colorado and Maine.
I’m all for ways to rid our political system of the Electoral College for the same reasons my fellow progressives share. It was born from a compromise designed not only to maintain slavery in the US, but actually swung the balance of power to slave holding states. And today, it acts as a reactionary weight that impedes social justice, never mind it gave us George W. Bush and Donald Trump when the American voters elected someone else.
But repealing the EC maybe impossible, as it would require many of the lesser populated states that have a disproportionate amount of power with the EC, to cede that power. It’s awfully hard to get someone to cede power and convincing several smaller states to do that may be a bridge to far.
Which is why the National Popular Vote Compact was proposed, where states would pass laws promising to cast their electoral votes to the candidate that won the popular vote, even if a majority of that state’s voters, voted of the other candidate. The measure would take effect when states with a combined total of 270 EC votes (the amount required to win a majority of EC votes) pass the measure, even though states representing the other 270 votes would not be bound by this compact.
The flaw in this line of thinking is so obvious that I’m shocked and confused as to how close this effort is to becoming a reality. So far a vast majority of the states committing to this compact are Blue states and most Red states are ignoring (or defeating) this effort.
If the National Popular Vote Compact succeeds, it will create a situation where if the Republicans lose the popular vote and win the EC vote, we elect a Republican. And if the Democrats lose the popular vote and win the EC, Democratic states like California, New York and Massachusetts will vote to elect a Republican in the EC. This creates a situation for the progressives where “heads they win, tails we lose” and I for the life of me can not understand why this is being embraced by Democracy Reform Advocates.
Yes, in modern history the two times this occurred, it favored the GOP. And advocated for the Popular Vote Compact claim that a EC win and a popular vote loss scenario will most likely happen for the GOP.
But in 2004, if 65,000 voters in Ohio swung into John Kerry’s column, the Democrats would have won the EC and lost the national popular vote. So if the Popular Vote Compact was in place at the time, many blue states would have been compelled to vote for a second term of George Bush. Can you imagine that happening in the future?
I don’t have an answer to the conundrum of the EC. Nor am I an expert on the Popular Voter Compact, but what I can see it seems like a very flawed “solution”. Can someone tell me why I’m wrong? That progressives are setting ourselves up for a scenario that ANY TIME the Dems win the EC and not the popular, we had the Presidency to the GOP.