Happy New Years Eve. Let’s throw 2020 into the trash bin.
We are now in the final stretch of early voting! December 28th — December 31st. Early voting ends on the Friday before election day. Since Friday this week ends on New Years, we lose that day. So we only have 4 days of early voting this week + mail ballots being returned through the weekend into election day.
Mail Ballot Requests
1. 1,370,531 ballots have been requested compared to 1,782,580 for the General
2. Percentage wise, that means the runoff is at 76.88% of the requests compared to the General. Increase of .26% from the last posting
3. Of the 1,370,531 ballot requests, 866,939 (3K increase) are from Biden counties, and 503,592 (1.5K increase) are from Trump counties.
4. In the general, out of the 1,782,580 requests, 1,117,802 came from Biden counties and 664,778 came from trump counties.
5. That means, Biden counties are currently requesting 77.56% (.27% increase from the last posting) of the ballots when compared to the 2020 general and Trump counties are requesting 75.75% (.25% increase from the last posting).
6. Overall, for the runoff, Biden counties have requested 63.26% (.01% increase from the last posting) of all mail ballots and Trump counties have requested 36.74% (.01% decrease from the last posting). In the General, this % was 62.71% for Biden counties and 37.29% for Trump counties.
7. Raw numbers wise; Democratic counties currently have a 363,347 application edge (increase of 1K votes from the last posting) on GOP counties out of 1,365,831 ballot requests. In the General, Democratic counties had a 453,024 edge on GOP counties out of 1,782,580 ballot requests.
Mail ballot Returns:
1. 896,318 ballots have been returned compared to 1,320,154 for the General
2. Percentage wise, that means the runoff is at 67.89% (3% increase from the last posting) of the returns compared to the General.
3. Of the 896,318 ballot returns, 549,851 are from Biden counties (24K increase since the last posting), and 346,467 are from Trump counties (16K increase since the last posting).
4. In the general, out of the 1,320,154 returns, 823,960 came from Biden counties and 496,194 came from trump counties.
5. That means, Biden counties are currently returning 66.73% of the ballots (3% increase since the last posting) when compared to the 2020 general and Trump counties are returning 69.82% (3.17% increase since the last posting)
6. Overall, for the runoff, Biden counties have returned 61.35% of all mail ballots (.01% decrease since the last posting) and Trump counties have returned 38.65% (.01% increase since the last posting). In the General, this % was 62.41% for Biden counties and 37.59% for Trump counties.
7. Raw numbers wise; Democratic counties currently have a 203,384 mail return edge (9K increase since the last posting) on GOP counties out of 855,768 ballot returns. In the General, Democratic counties had a 327,766 edge on GOP counties out of 1,320,514 ballot returns.
If you use the margins Biden got in the general, Dems have a 263K vote lead on mail ballot returns (increase of 12K).
There’s between 359K to 474K ballots left to return. The range is due to ballots potentially being returned at polling places. If these ballots were all returned, it would net between 120K to 160K democratic votes.
In Person Early Votes
1. 1,916,676 votes have been tabulated compared to 2,694,763 for the General
2. Percentage wise, that means the runoff is at 71.13% of the votes (increase of 7.7% from yesterday) compared to the General.
3. Of the 1,916,676 votes, 1,051,248 are from Biden counties (increase of 111K from yesterday), and 865,428 are from Trump counties (increase of 95K from yesterday).
4. In the general, out of the 2,694,763 votes, 1,373,128 came from Biden counties and 1,321,635 came from trump counties.
5. That means, Biden counties are currently at 76.19% of votes (increase of 8% from yesterday) when compared to the 2020 general and Trump counties are at 65.81% of votes (increase of 7.2% from yesterday).
6. Overall, for the runoff, Biden counties are at 54.85% of all early in person votes (decrease of .09% from yesterday) and Trump counties are at 45.15% of all early in person votes (increase of .09% from yesterday). In the General, this % was 50.96% for Biden counties and 49.04% for Trump counties.
7. Raw numbers wise; Democratic counties currently have a 185,820 vote edge (16K increase from yesterday) on GOP counties out of 1,916,676 early in person votes. In the General, Democratic counties had a 51,493 edge on GOP counties out of 2,694,763 ballot returns.
If you use the margins Biden got in the general, Republicans have a 40,807 vote lead for in person early votes (increase of 8K votes)
Total early vote of runoff compared to early vote of general election
Couny |
total early vote |
total early vote GE |
percent |
WARREN |
1722 |
2151 |
80.06% |
GREENE |
7832 |
9811 |
79.83% |
NEWTON |
28948 |
36373 |
79.59% |
TERRELL |
2511 |
3173 |
79.14% |
RANDOLPH |
1853 |
2343 |
79.09% |
MACON |
2849 |
3613 |
78.85% |
SPALDING |
16813 |
21423 |
78.48% |
CALHOUN |
1223 |
1562 |
78.30% |
FULTON |
359012 |
462174 |
77.68% |
CLAYTON |
70878 |
91265 |
77.66% |
HANCOCK |
2526 |
3259 |
77.51% |
UNION |
9181 |
11859 |
77.42% |
SUMTER |
7349 |
9496 |
77.39% |
STEWART |
1120 |
1454 |
77.03% |
DEKALB |
246327 |
320215 |
76.93% |
TALBOT |
1910 |
2499 |
76.43% |
DOUGLAS |
44307 |
58031 |
76.35% |
RABUN |
6232 |
8163 |
76.34% |
TOWNS |
5207 |
6854 |
75.97% |
HOUSTON |
42464 |
56402 |
75.29% |
PUTNAM |
7369 |
9828 |
74.98% |
QUITMAN |
585 |
781 |
74.90% |
MCINTOSH |
4047 |
5405 |
74.88% |
OCONEE |
16235 |
21738 |
74.68% |
CLAY |
846 |
1135 |
74.54% |
WASHINGTON |
5077 |
6820 |
74.44% |
WHITE |
8031 |
10822 |
74.21% |
ROCKDALE |
28509 |
38532 |
73.99% |
JEFFERSON |
4016 |
5442 |
73.80% |
BIBB |
39510 |
53640 |
73.66% |
GLYNN |
25707 |
35014 |
73.42% |
JENKINS |
1884 |
2567 |
73.39% |
DOOLY |
2300 |
3145 |
73.13% |
TURNER |
2249 |
3076 |
73.11% |
PULASKI |
2576 |
3527 |
73.04% |
CRISP |
4724 |
6471 |
73.00% |
DOUGHERTY |
17021 |
23386 |
72.78% |
FANNIN |
7459 |
10251 |
72.76% |
HARRIS |
9469 |
13049 |
72.56% |
GILMER |
8431 |
11632 |
72.48% |
WILKES |
2749 |
3795 |
72.44% |
DODGE |
3728 |
5151 |
72.37% |
MERIWETHER |
5380 |
7441 |
72.30% |
TELFAIR |
2197 |
3044 |
72.17% |
LINCOLN |
2495 |
3462 |
72.07% |
EVANS |
2541 |
3532 |
71.94% |
THOMAS |
12648 |
17615 |
71.80% |
SCREVEN |
3398 |
4734 |
71.78% |
BUTTS |
7560 |
10561 |
71.58% |
DAWSON |
9597 |
13450 |
71.35% |
EARLY |
2665 |
3738 |
71.29% |
TALIAFERRO |
515 |
723 |
71.23% |
MARION |
1877 |
2640 |
71.10% |
HABERSHAM |
12236 |
17214 |
71.08% |
FAYETTE |
43999 |
61908 |
71.07% |
GWINNET |
242053 |
341211 |
70.94% |
WILKINSON |
2075 |
2927 |
70.89% |
LIBERTY |
12655 |
17877 |
70.79% |
MUSCOGEE |
47802 |
67557 |
70.76% |
COLUMBIA |
43710 |
61785 |
70.75% |
OGELTHORPE |
4687 |
6635 |
70.64% |
BLECKLEY |
3143 |
4453 |
70.58% |
RICHMOND |
46632 |
66164 |
70.48% |
MCDUFIE |
6333 |
8986 |
70.48% |
BALDWIN |
10412 |
14792 |
70.39% |
CANDLER |
2658 |
3782 |
70.28% |
CLARKE |
29775 |
42398 |
70.23% |
TIFT |
8678 |
12369 |
70.16% |
MITCHELL |
4614 |
6589 |
70.03% |
MILLER |
1486 |
2123 |
70.00% |
JASPER |
4022 |
5747 |
69.98% |
TWIGGS |
2209 |
3162 |
69.86% |
COOK |
3743 |
5361 |
69.82% |
MORGAN |
6495 |
9308 |
69.78% |
LUMPKIN |
9182 |
13159 |
69.78% |
EMMANUEL |
4261 |
6110 |
69.74% |
MONROE |
8472 |
12162 |
69.66% |
SCHLEY |
1322 |
1904 |
69.43% |
UPSON |
7545 |
10878 |
69.36% |
TROUP |
15505 |
22382 |
69.27% |
TOOMBS |
5886 |
8504 |
69.21% |
MADISON |
7340 |
10628 |
69.06% |
WORTH |
4079 |
5908 |
69.04% |
WEBSTER |
765 |
1110 |
68.92% |
TREUTLEN |
1735 |
2526 |
68.69% |
HENRY |
72823 |
106149 |
68.60% |
BEN HILL |
3960 |
5774 |
68.58% |
BACON |
2805 |
4090 |
68.58% |
CRAWFORD |
3202 |
4669 |
68.58% |
CHATTAHOCHEE |
764 |
1115 |
68.52% |
JOHNSON |
2127 |
3113 |
68.33% |
BRYAN |
12164 |
17826 |
68.24% |
BAKER |
758 |
1112 |
68.17% |
BROOKS |
3471 |
5122 |
67.77% |
DADE |
3472 |
5132 |
67.65% |
ELBERT |
4575 |
6774 |
67.54% |
COLQUITT |
7198 |
10661 |
67.52% |
LEE |
8541 |
12707 |
67.21% |
LAURENS |
10138 |
15116 |
67.07% |
COWETA |
35417 |
52836 |
67.03% |
HART |
6575 |
9809 |
67.03% |
PIERCE |
5160 |
7710 |
66.93% |
PEACH |
7187 |
10740 |
66.92% |
LOWNDES |
25052 |
37439 |
66.91% |
TATTNAL |
4152 |
6208 |
66.88% |
COFFEE |
7634 |
11474 |
66.53% |
BULLOCH |
13834 |
20828 |
66.42% |
CATOOSA |
17384 |
26271 |
66.17% |
JEFF DAVIS |
2705 |
4092 |
66.10% |
SEMINOLE |
1738 |
2633 |
66.01% |
CHARLTON |
2104 |
3189 |
65.98% |
FORSYTH |
76337 |
115924 |
65.85% |
IRWIN |
2147 |
3264 |
65.78% |
CAMDEN |
12326 |
18744 |
65.76% |
COBB |
212973 |
324055 |
65.72% |
EFFINGHAM |
14610 |
22240 |
65.69% |
GRADY |
5268 |
8022 |
65.67% |
STEPHENS |
6771 |
10321 |
65.60% |
MONTGOMERY |
1701 |
2595 |
65.55% |
DECATUR |
6124 |
9352 |
65.48% |
APPLING |
4114 |
6295 |
65.35% |
PAULDING |
46680 |
71573 |
65.22% |
POLK |
9046 |
13875 |
65.20% |
BERRIEN |
3615 |
5552 |
65.11% |
CLINCH |
1303 |
2002 |
65.08% |
WHEELER |
1060 |
1634 |
64.87% |
HEARD |
2295 |
3548 |
64.68% |
LAMAR |
4369 |
6787 |
64.37% |
GORDON |
10262 |
15943 |
64.37% |
WARE |
7043 |
10987 |
64.10% |
CARROL |
25624 |
40114 |
63.88% |
WAYNE |
6231 |
9800 |
63.58% |
BARROW |
19124 |
30132 |
63.47% |
WILCOX |
1423 |
2245 |
63.39% |
GLASCOCK |
711 |
1122 |
63.37% |
WHITFIELD |
15656 |
24769 |
63.21% |
BARTOW |
23712 |
37829 |
62.68% |
FLOYD |
19498 |
31146 |
62.60% |
JACKSON |
19644 |
31536 |
62.29% |
CHATTOOGA |
4460 |
7178 |
62.13% |
LANIER |
1791 |
2883 |
62.12% |
WALTON |
24504 |
39548 |
61.96% |
JONES |
6867 |
11086 |
61.94% |
HALL |
46598 |
75298 |
61.88% |
HARALSON |
5883 |
9508 |
61.87% |
PIKE |
4972 |
8063 |
61.66% |
MURRAY |
6732 |
10933 |
61.58% |
TAYLOR |
1949 |
3190 |
61.10% |
LONG |
2470 |
4056 |
60.90% |
BRANTLEY |
3361 |
5575 |
60.29% |
FRANKLIN |
4883 |
8100 |
60.28% |
CHATHAM |
57945 |
96210 |
60.23% |
CHEROKEE |
68509 |
113778 |
60.21% |
BURKE |
4326 |
7212 |
59.98% |
ATKINSON |
1303 |
2174 |
59.94% |
ECHOLS |
707 |
1180 |
59.92% |
WALKER |
12861 |
22677 |
56.71% |
BANKS |
3745 |
6983 |
53.63% |
PICKENS |
5353 |
10308 |
51.93% |
|
Currently at 70.05% of the general election early vote.
All my data comes from electproject and georgiavotes.com