Whew, this took too much work.
I now have tables for mail ballot requests, mail ballot returns, and in person early votes. All with comparisons to the 2020 general election.
Enjoy!
Mail Ballot Requests
Couny |
2020 Runoff Mail
Ballot Request |
2020 Mail GE
Ballot Request |
Percentage |
2020 winner |
APPLING |
1,476 |
2,190 |
67.40% |
T +57% |
ATKINSON |
246 |
479 |
51.36% |
T +47 |
BACON |
639 |
958 |
66.70% |
T+73 |
BAKER |
341 |
519 |
65.70% |
T+16 |
BALDWIN |
5,261 |
6,979 |
75.38% |
B+1.3 |
BANKS |
1,232 |
1,831 |
67.29% |
T+78 |
BARROW |
7,240 |
10,662 |
67.90% |
T+43 |
BARTOW |
9,415 |
13,958 |
67.45% |
T+51 |
BEN HILL |
1193 |
1,779 |
67.06% |
T+26 |
BERRIEN |
1110 |
1,743 |
63.68% |
T+67 |
BIBB |
17,912 |
25,847 |
69.30% |
B+24 |
BLECKLEY |
964 |
1,409 |
68.42% |
T+53 |
BRANTLEY |
799 |
1,367 |
58.45% |
T+81 |
BROOKS |
1,582 |
2,158 |
73.31% |
T+21 |
BRYAN |
3,642 |
5,576 |
65.32% |
T+35 |
BULLOCH |
6,466 |
8,632 |
74.91% |
T+24 |
BURKE |
1,462 |
3,179 |
45.99% |
T+1.8 |
BUTTS |
1,946 |
2,951 |
65.94% |
T+44 |
CALHOUN |
646 |
749 |
86.25% |
B+15 |
CAMDEN |
4,583 |
6,998 |
65.49% |
T+31 |
CANDLER |
706 |
1,043 |
67.69% |
T+42 |
CARROL |
9,233 |
13,017 |
70.93% |
T+39 |
CATOOSA |
5,221 |
6,815 |
76.61% |
T+56 |
CHARLTON |
659 |
965 |
68.29% |
T+51 |
CHATHAM |
40,915 |
56,016 |
73.04% |
B+19 |
CHATTAHOCHEE |
287 |
470 |
61.06% |
T+13 |
CHATTOOGA |
1,632 |
2,202 |
74.11% |
T+62 |
CHEROKEE |
35,802 |
46,908 |
76.32% |
T+39 |
CLARKE |
15,528 |
23,065 |
67.32% |
B+42 |
CLAY |
408 |
544 |
75.00% |
B+11 |
CLAYTON |
31,242 |
45,703 |
68.36% |
B+71 |
CLINCH |
331 |
507 |
65.29% |
T+47 |
COBB |
137,135 |
183,634 |
74.68% |
B+14 |
COFFEE |
1,680 |
3,139 |
53.52% |
T+40 |
COLQUITT |
2,488 |
4,018 |
61.92% |
T+47 |
COLUMBIA |
16,340 |
23,276 |
70.20% |
T+26 |
COOK |
1023 |
1,418 |
72.14% |
T+40 |
COWETA |
17,339 |
23,291 |
74.45% |
T+36 |
CRAWFORD |
1108 |
1,562 |
70.93% |
T+46 |
CRISP |
1,648 |
2,432 |
67.76% |
T+25 |
DADE |
1020 |
1,525 |
66.89% |
T+65 |
DAWSON |
2,956 |
4,163 |
71.01% |
T+68 |
DECATUR |
2,278 |
3,347 |
68.06% |
T+17 |
DEKALB |
132,171 |
174,683 |
75.66% |
B+67 |
DODGE |
1,300 |
1,869 |
69.56% |
T+46 |
DOOLY |
734 |
1,092 |
67.22% |
T+6 |
DOUGHERTY |
8,246 |
14,796 |
55.73% |
B+40 |
DOUGLAS |
18,254 |
26,796 |
68.12% |
B+25 |
EARLY |
1029 |
1,459 |
70.53% |
T+5 |
ECHOLS |
141 |
240 |
58.75% |
T+76 |
EFFINGHAM |
4,571 |
6,729 |
67.93% |
T+50 |
ELBERT |
1,978 |
2,709 |
73.02% |
T+36 |
EMMANUEL |
1,768 |
2,467 |
71.67% |
T+39 |
EVANS |
811 |
1,097 |
73.93% |
T+37 |
FANNIN |
3,610 |
4,553 |
79.29% |
T+65 |
FAYETTE |
17,192 |
25,241 |
68.11% |
T+7 |
FLOYD |
8,186 |
11,858 |
69.03% |
T+41 |
FORSYTH |
26,771 |
41,237 |
64.92% |
T+33 |
FRANKLIN |
2,270 |
2,733 |
83.06% |
T+69 |
FULTON |
136,282 |
213,223 |
63.92% |
B+46 |
GILMER |
3,369 |
4,470 |
75.37% |
T+64 |
GLASCOCK |
245 |
383 |
63.97% |
T+80 |
GLYNN |
9,896 |
14,118 |
70.09% |
T+23 |
GORDON |
3,994 |
5,406 |
73.88% |
T+63 |
GRADY |
2,212 |
3,382 |
65.41% |
T+32 |
GREENE |
2,728 |
4,207 |
64.84% |
T+26 |
GWINNET |
118,224 |
168,015 |
70.37% |
B+18 |
HABERSHAM |
4,018 |
5,685 |
70.68% |
T+64 |
HALL |
19,915 |
28,389 |
70.15% |
T+43 |
HANCOCK |
1,410 |
1,903 |
74.09% |
B+44 |
HARALSON |
2,125 |
3,021 |
70.34% |
T+74 |
HARRIS |
4,195 |
5,539 |
75.74% |
T+44 |
HART |
2,680 |
3,705 |
72.33% |
T+50 |
HEARD |
878 |
1,315 |
66.77% |
T+68 |
HENRY |
24,533 |
41,287 |
59.42% |
B+20 |
HOUSTON |
20,241 |
26,455 |
76.51% |
T+12 |
IRWIN |
573 |
944 |
60.70% |
T+51 |
JACKSON |
6,506 |
9,475 |
68.66% |
T+58 |
JASPER |
1,340 |
1,928 |
69.50% |
T+53 |
JEFF DAVIS |
775 |
1,241 |
62.45% |
T+64 |
JEFFERSON |
1,756 |
2,459 |
71.41% |
B+7 |
JENKINS |
690 |
1,130 |
61.06% |
T+26 |
JOHNSON |
650 |
1,070 |
60.75% |
T+40 |
JONES |
3,026 |
3,963 |
76.36% |
T+34 |
LAMAR |
1,639 |
2,422 |
67.67% |
T+41 |
LANIER |
587 |
892 |
65.81% |
T+42 |
LAURENS |
4,862 |
6,668 |
72.92% |
T+28 |
LEE |
2,342 |
3,480 |
67.30% |
T+45 |
LIBERTY |
5,577 |
8,045 |
69.32% |
B+24 |
LINCOLN |
1004 |
1,536 |
65.36% |
T+38 |
LONG |
808 |
1,247 |
64.80% |
T+26 |
LOWNDES |
9,690 |
13,920 |
69.61% |
T+12 |
LUMPKIN |
3,140 |
4,409 |
71.22% |
T+58 |
MACON |
900 |
1,392 |
64.66% |
B+23 |
MADISON |
2,705 |
3,793 |
71.32% |
T+53 |
MARION |
717 |
1,018 |
70.43% |
T+27 |
MCDUFIE |
2,319 |
3,344 |
69.35% |
T+19 |
MCINTOSH |
1,606 |
2,339 |
68.66% |
T+21 |
MERIWETHER |
2,452 |
3,392 |
72.29% |
T+21 |
MILLER |
350 |
652 |
53.68% |
T+46 |
MITCHELL |
2,098 |
2,969 |
70.66% |
T+10 |
MONROE |
2,269 |
3,390 |
66.93% |
T+43 |
MONTGOMERY |
633 |
943 |
67.13% |
T+50 |
MORGAN |
1,895 |
2,848 |
66.54% |
T+42 |
MURRAY |
2,021 |
2,817 |
71.74% |
T+69 |
MUSCOGEE |
22,307 |
32,970 |
67.66% |
B+24 |
NEWTON |
14,684 |
19,971 |
73.53% |
B+11 |
OCONEE |
4,901 |
7,439 |
65.88% |
T+34 |
OGELTHORPE |
1,765 |
2,416 |
73.05% |
T+39 |
PAULDING |
18,586 |
26,380 |
70.45% |
T+29 |
PEACH |
2,356 |
3,843 |
61.31% |
T+5 |
PICKENS |
2,822 |
3,653 |
77.25% |
T+66 |
PIERCE |
1,211 |
1,881 |
64.38% |
T+75 |
PIKE |
1,471 |
2,185 |
67.32% |
T+71 |
POLK |
2,639 |
3,918 |
67.36% |
T+57 |
PULASKI |
620 |
870 |
71.26% |
T+39 |
PUTNAM |
3,030 |
4,285 |
70.71% |
T+41 |
QUITMAN |
164 |
314 |
52.23% |
T+10 |
RABUN |
2,571 |
3,279 |
78.41% |
T+57 |
RANDOLPH |
708 |
947 |
74.76% |
B+9 |
RICHMOND |
26,267 |
38,481 |
68.26% |
B+37 |
ROCKDALE |
13,492 |
17,470 |
77.23% |
B+41 |
SCHLEY |
303 |
431 |
70.30% |
T+59 |
SCREVEN |
1333 |
1,791 |
74.43% |
T+19 |
SEMINOLE |
585 |
893 |
65.51% |
T+35 |
SPALDING |
8,691 |
11,107 |
78.25% |
T+21 |
STEPHENS |
2,152 |
2,753 |
78.17% |
T+59 |
STEWART |
460 |
646 |
71.21% |
B+19 |
SUMTER |
3,526 |
4,266 |
82.65% |
B+5 |
TALBOT |
1,078 |
1,566 |
68.84% |
B+20 |
TALIAFERRO |
269 |
377 |
71.35% |
B+22 |
TATTNAL |
1,312 |
1,984 |
66.13% |
T+49 |
TAYLOR |
677 |
1,144 |
59.18% |
T+27 |
TELFAIR |
1080 |
1,297 |
83.27% |
T+31 |
TERRELL |
1,182 |
1,552 |
76.16% |
B+8 |
THOMAS |
4,372 |
6,053 |
72.23% |
T+19 |
TIFT |
2,656 |
4,101 |
64.76% |
T+34 |
TOOMBS |
2,078 |
3,181 |
65.33% |
T+45 |
TOWNS |
2,012 |
2,660 |
75.64% |
T+61 |
TREUTLEN |
519 |
809 |
64.15% |
T+37 |
TROUP |
5,827 |
8,354 |
69.75% |
T+22 |
TURNER |
503 |
819 |
61.42% |
T+25 |
TWIGGS |
997 |
1,441 |
69.19% |
T+7 |
UNION |
3,320 |
4,788 |
69.34% |
T+63 |
UPSON |
2,571 |
3,772 |
68.16% |
T+34 |
WALKER |
5,780 |
7,535 |
76.71% |
T+59 |
WALTON |
9,890 |
14,542 |
68.01% |
T+49 |
WARE |
2,983 |
4,366 |
68.32% |
T+40 |
WARREN |
718 |
996 |
72.09% |
B+11 |
WASHINGTON |
2,788 |
3,424 |
81.43% |
B+.71 |
WAYNE |
1,999 |
2,839 |
70.41% |
T+57 |
WEBSTER |
294 |
457 |
64.33% |
T+8 |
WHEELER |
386 |
557 |
69.30% |
T+39 |
WHITE |
2,922 |
4,091 |
71.43% |
T+66 |
WHITFIELD |
6,124 |
8,917 |
68.68% |
T+41 |
WILCOX |
550 |
778 |
70.69% |
T+47 |
WILKES |
1,199 |
1,721 |
69.67% |
T+13 |
WILKINSON |
826 |
1,207 |
68.43% |
T+12 |
WORTH |
1,674 |
2,251 |
74.37% |
T+48 |
|
Now what does this all mean?
In comparing the 2020 general to the 2020 runoff:
1. 1,251,271 ballots have been requested compared to 1,782,580 for the General
2. Percentage wise, that means the runoff is at 70.19% of the requests compared to the General. Increase of ~1.1% from the last posting
3. Of the 1,251,271 ballot requests, 783,233 (15K increase) are from Biden counties, and 468,038 (7K increase) are from Trump counties.
4. In the general, out of the 1,782,580 requests, 1,117,802 came from Biden counties and 664,778 came from trump counties.
5. That means, Biden counties are currently requesting 70.07% (1.3% increase from the last posting) of the ballots when compared to the 2020 general and Trump counties are requesting 70.41% (1% increase from the last posting).
6. Overall, for the runoff, Biden counties have requested 62.59% (.08% increase from the last posting) of all mail ballots and Trump counties have requested 37.41% (.08% decrease from the last posting). In the General, this % was 62.71% for Biden counties and 37.29% for Trump counties.
7. Raw numbers wise; Democratic counties currently have a 315,195 application edge (increase of 8K votes from the last posting) on GOP counties out of 1,229,917 ballot requests. In the General, Democratic counties had a 453,024 edge on GOP counties out of 1,782,580 ballot requests.
One note I will mention is, because mail ballots have been skewing Dem pretty heavily, even the Trump counties aren’t as red as they seem.
Mail ballot returns
Mail Ballot Returns
Couny |
2020 runoff mail ballot returns |
2020 Mail GE ballot returns |
Percent |
2020 Runoff Mail
Ballot Request |
2020 runoff returned % |
2020 winner |
APPLING |
623 |
1,533 |
40.64% |
1,476 |
42.21% |
T +57% |
ATKINSON |
73 |
297 |
24.58% |
246 |
29.67% |
T +47 |
BACON |
253 |
691 |
36.61% |
639 |
39.59% |
T+73 |
BAKER |
0 |
375 |
0.00% |
341 |
0.00% |
T+16 |
BALDWIN |
213 |
4,337 |
4.91% |
5,261 |
4.05% |
B+1.3 |
BANKS |
1 |
1,387 |
0.07% |
1,232 |
0.08% |
T+78 |
BARROW |
2,970 |
7,893 |
37.63% |
7,240 |
41.02% |
T+43 |
BARTOW |
3,199 |
10,632 |
30.09% |
9,415 |
33.98% |
T+51 |
BEN HILL |
524 |
1260 |
41.59% |
1193 |
43.92% |
T+26 |
BERRIEN |
352 |
1134 |
31.04% |
1110 |
31.71% |
T+67 |
BIBB |
4,401 |
19,800 |
22.23% |
17,912 |
24.57% |
B+24 |
BLECKLEY |
418 |
1057 |
39.55% |
964 |
43.36% |
T+53 |
BRANTLEY |
228 |
897 |
25.42% |
799 |
28.54% |
T+81 |
BROOKS |
519 |
1,636 |
31.72% |
1,582 |
32.81% |
T+21 |
BRYAN |
1,355 |
3,783 |
35.82% |
3,642 |
37.20% |
T+35 |
BULLOCH |
2,460 |
6,480 |
37.96% |
6,466 |
38.05% |
T+24 |
BURKE |
399 |
2,522 |
15.82% |
1,462 |
27.29% |
T+1.8 |
BUTTS |
808 |
2,144 |
37.69% |
1,946 |
41.52% |
T+44 |
CALHOUN |
229 |
590 |
38.81% |
646 |
35.45% |
B+15 |
CAMDEN |
2,001 |
5,053 |
39.60% |
4,583 |
43.66% |
T+31 |
CANDLER |
191 |
745 |
25.64% |
706 |
27.05% |
T+42 |
CARROL |
2,537 |
9,499 |
26.71% |
9,233 |
27.48% |
T+39 |
CATOOSA |
2,467 |
5,187 |
47.56% |
5,221 |
47.25% |
T+56 |
CHARLTON |
270 |
695 |
38.85% |
659 |
40.97% |
T+51 |
CHATHAM |
7,375 |
41,597 |
17.73% |
40,915 |
18.03% |
B+19 |
CHATTAHOCHEE |
105 |
302 |
34.77% |
287 |
36.59% |
T+13 |
CHATTOOGA |
758 |
1,792 |
42.30% |
1,632 |
46.45% |
T+62 |
CHEROKEE |
10,424 |
37,782 |
27.59% |
35,802 |
29.12% |
T+39 |
CLARKE |
0 |
18,731 |
0.00% |
15,528 |
0.00% |
B+42 |
CLAY |
128 |
405 |
31.60% |
408 |
31.37% |
B+11 |
CLAYTON |
3,237 |
31,533 |
10.27% |
31,242 |
10.36% |
B+71 |
CLINCH |
147 |
362 |
40.61% |
331 |
44.41% |
T+47 |
COBB |
35,294 |
149,811 |
23.56% |
137,135 |
25.74% |
B+14 |
COFFEE |
440 |
1,930 |
22.80% |
1,680 |
26.19% |
T+40 |
COLQUITT |
500 |
2,603 |
19.21% |
2,488 |
20.10% |
T+47 |
COLUMBIA |
6,758 |
16,919 |
39.94% |
16,340 |
41.36% |
T+26 |
COOK |
437 |
1016 |
43.01% |
1023 |
42.72% |
T+40 |
COWETA |
6,769 |
19,151 |
35.35% |
17,339 |
39.04% |
T+36 |
CRAWFORD |
396 |
1101 |
35.97% |
1108 |
35.74% |
T+46 |
CRISP |
594 |
1,684 |
35.27% |
1,648 |
36.04% |
T+25 |
DADE |
403 |
1034 |
38.97% |
1020 |
39.51% |
T+65 |
DAWSON |
610 |
3,084 |
19.78% |
2,956 |
20.64% |
T+68 |
DECATUR |
1,039 |
2,343 |
44.34% |
2,278 |
45.61% |
T+17 |
DEKALB |
33,630 |
128,634 |
26.14% |
132,171 |
25.44% |
B+67 |
DODGE |
500 |
1,307 |
38.26% |
1,300 |
38.46% |
T+46 |
DOOLY |
280 |
745 |
37.58% |
734 |
38.15% |
T+6 |
DOUGHERTY |
1,958 |
10,370 |
18.88% |
8,246 |
23.74% |
B+40 |
DOUGLAS |
3,953 |
19,736 |
20.03% |
18,254 |
21.66% |
B+25 |
EARLY |
439 |
1110 |
39.55% |
1029 |
42.66% |
T+5 |
ECHOLS |
43 |
158 |
27.22% |
141 |
30.50% |
T+76 |
EFFINGHAM |
1,847 |
4,976 |
37.12% |
4,571 |
40.41% |
T+50 |
ELBERT |
660 |
2,054 |
32.13% |
1,978 |
33.37% |
T+36 |
EMMANUEL |
781 |
1,727 |
45.22% |
1,768 |
44.17% |
T+39 |
EVANS |
290 |
854 |
33.96% |
811 |
35.76% |
T+37 |
FANNIN |
851 |
3,459 |
24.60% |
3,610 |
23.57% |
T+65 |
FAYETTE |
2,414 |
18,838 |
12.81% |
17,192 |
14.04% |
T+7 |
FLOYD |
1,104 |
8,732 |
12.64% |
8,186 |
13.49% |
T+41 |
FORSYTH |
2,393 |
30,972 |
7.73% |
26,771 |
8.94% |
T+33 |
FRANKLIN |
817 |
2,044 |
39.97% |
2,270 |
35.99% |
T+69 |
FULTON |
24,380 |
143,890 |
16.94% |
136,282 |
17.89% |
B+46 |
GILMER |
1,494 |
3,496 |
42.73% |
3,369 |
44.35% |
T+64 |
GLASCOCK |
77 |
262 |
29.39% |
245 |
31.43% |
T+80 |
GLYNN |
2,144 |
10,318 |
20.78% |
9,896 |
21.67% |
T+23 |
GORDON |
1,602 |
4,075 |
39.31% |
3,994 |
40.11% |
T+63 |
GRADY |
671 |
2,247 |
29.86% |
2,212 |
30.33% |
T+32 |
GREENE |
1,231 |
2,849 |
43.21% |
2,728 |
45.12% |
T+26 |
GWINNET |
31,470 |
124,400 |
25.30% |
118,224 |
26.62% |
B+18 |
HABERSHAM |
1,445 |
4,272 |
33.82% |
4,018 |
35.96% |
T+64 |
HALL |
6,679 |
21,740 |
30.72% |
19,915 |
33.54% |
T+43 |
HANCOCK |
439 |
1,479 |
29.68% |
1,410 |
31.13% |
B+44 |
HARALSON |
872 |
2,498 |
34.91% |
2,125 |
41.04% |
T+74 |
HARRIS |
1,273 |
4,266 |
29.84% |
4,195 |
30.35% |
T+44 |
HART |
893 |
2,612 |
34.19% |
2,680 |
33.32% |
T+50 |
HEARD |
378 |
989 |
38.22% |
878 |
43.05% |
T+68 |
HENRY |
5,684 |
29,437 |
19.31% |
24,533 |
23.17% |
B+20 |
HOUSTON |
4,330 |
20,418 |
21.21% |
20,241 |
21.39% |
T+12 |
IRWIN |
203 |
618 |
32.85% |
573 |
35.43% |
T+51 |
JACKSON |
2,749 |
7,352 |
37.39% |
6,506 |
42.25% |
T+58 |
JASPER |
429 |
1,486 |
28.87% |
1,340 |
32.01% |
T+53 |
JEFF DAVIS |
298 |
819 |
36.39% |
775 |
38.45% |
T+64 |
JEFFERSON |
545 |
1,708 |
31.91% |
1,756 |
31.04% |
B+7 |
JENKINS |
201 |
758 |
26.52% |
690 |
29.13% |
T+26 |
JOHNSON |
265 |
759 |
34.91% |
650 |
40.77% |
T+40 |
JONES |
1,133 |
3,009 |
37.65% |
3,026 |
37.44% |
T+34 |
LAMAR |
626 |
1,769 |
35.39% |
1,639 |
38.19% |
T+41 |
LANIER |
220 |
563 |
39.08% |
587 |
37.48% |
T+42 |
LAURENS |
250 |
5,122 |
4.88% |
4,862 |
5.14% |
T+28 |
LEE |
1,017 |
2,493 |
40.79% |
2,342 |
43.42% |
T+45 |
LIBERTY |
2,484 |
5,668 |
43.82% |
5,577 |
44.54% |
B+24 |
LINCOLN |
414 |
1085 |
38.16% |
1004 |
41.24% |
T+38 |
LONG |
128 |
758 |
16.89% |
808 |
15.84% |
T+26 |
LOWNDES |
2,959 |
9,379 |
31.55% |
9,690 |
30.54% |
T+12 |
LUMPKIN |
781 |
3,341 |
23.38% |
3,140 |
24.87% |
T+58 |
MACON |
309 |
849 |
36.40% |
900 |
34.33% |
B+23 |
MADISON |
951 |
2,970 |
32.02% |
2,705 |
35.16% |
T+53 |
MARION |
273 |
779 |
35.04% |
717 |
38.08% |
T+27 |
MCDUFIE |
790 |
2,440 |
32.38% |
2,319 |
34.07% |
T+19 |
MCINTOSH |
664 |
1,698 |
39.10% |
1,606 |
41.34% |
T+21 |
MERIWETHER |
841 |
2,501 |
33.63% |
2,452 |
34.30% |
T+21 |
MILLER |
176 |
489 |
35.99% |
350 |
50.29% |
T+46 |
MITCHELL |
616 |
2,208 |
27.90% |
2,098 |
29.36% |
T+10 |
MONROE |
626 |
2,475 |
25.29% |
2,269 |
27.59% |
T+43 |
MONTGOMERY |
277 |
668 |
41.47% |
633 |
43.76% |
T+50 |
MORGAN |
767 |
2,016 |
38.05% |
1,895 |
40.47% |
T+42 |
MURRAY |
885 |
2,079 |
42.57% |
2,021 |
43.79% |
T+69 |
MUSCOGEE |
956 |
24,777 |
3.86% |
22,307 |
4.29% |
B+24 |
NEWTON |
4,133 |
15,585 |
26.52% |
14,684 |
28.15% |
B+11 |
OCONEE |
1,286 |
5,856 |
21.96% |
4,901 |
26.24% |
T+34 |
OGELTHORPE |
800 |
1,854 |
43.15% |
1,765 |
45.33% |
T+39 |
PAULDING |
3,947 |
20,474 |
19.28% |
18,586 |
21.24% |
T+29 |
PEACH |
156 |
2,574 |
6.06% |
2,356 |
6.62% |
T+5 |
PICKENS |
36 |
2,913 |
1.24% |
2,822 |
1.28% |
T+66 |
PIERCE |
437 |
1,303 |
33.54% |
1,211 |
36.09% |
T+75 |
PIKE |
474 |
1,463 |
32.40% |
1,471 |
32.22% |
T+71 |
POLK |
1,067 |
2,831 |
37.69% |
2,639 |
40.43% |
T+57 |
PULASKI |
254 |
683 |
37.19% |
620 |
40.97% |
T+39 |
PUTNAM |
1,219 |
3,298 |
36.96% |
3,030 |
40.23% |
T+41 |
QUITMAN |
26 |
231 |
11.26% |
164 |
15.85% |
T+10 |
RABUN |
1,058 |
2,613 |
40.49% |
2,571 |
41.15% |
T+57 |
RANDOLPH |
358 |
680 |
52.65% |
708 |
50.56% |
B+9 |
RICHMOND |
3,678 |
28,094 |
13.09% |
26,267 |
14.00% |
B+37 |
ROCKDALE |
4,660 |
12,631 |
36.89% |
13,492 |
34.54% |
B+41 |
SCHLEY |
149 |
317 |
47.00% |
303 |
49.17% |
T+59 |
SCREVEN |
507 |
1309 |
38.73% |
1333 |
38.03% |
T+19 |
SEMINOLE |
223 |
549 |
40.62% |
585 |
38.12% |
T+35 |
SPALDING |
1,467 |
7,890 |
18.59% |
8,691 |
16.88% |
T+21 |
STEPHENS |
130 |
2,194 |
5.93% |
2,152 |
6.04% |
T+59 |
STEWART |
229 |
484 |
47.31% |
460 |
49.78% |
B+19 |
SUMTER |
1,474 |
2,885 |
51.09% |
3,526 |
41.80% |
B+5 |
TALBOT |
575 |
1,190 |
48.32% |
1,078 |
53.34% |
B+20 |
TALIAFERRO |
115 |
302 |
38.08% |
269 |
42.75% |
B+22 |
TATTNAL |
583 |
1,381 |
42.22% |
1,312 |
44.44% |
T+49 |
TAYLOR |
149 |
782 |
19.05% |
677 |
22.01% |
T+27 |
TELFAIR |
456 |
984 |
46.34% |
1080 |
42.22% |
T+31 |
TERRELL |
576 |
1,126 |
51.15% |
1,182 |
48.73% |
B+8 |
THOMAS |
1,544 |
4,127 |
37.41% |
4,372 |
35.32% |
T+19 |
TIFT |
685 |
2,716 |
25.22% |
2,656 |
25.79% |
T+34 |
TOOMBS |
318 |
2,326 |
13.67% |
2,078 |
15.30% |
T+45 |
TOWNS |
688 |
1,951 |
35.26% |
2,012 |
34.19% |
T+61 |
TREUTLEN |
204 |
581 |
35.11% |
519 |
39.31% |
T+37 |
TROUP |
2,300 |
6,459 |
35.61% |
5,827 |
39.47% |
T+22 |
TURNER |
195 |
528 |
36.93% |
503 |
38.77% |
T+25 |
TWIGGS |
455 |
1057 |
43.05% |
997 |
45.64% |
T+7 |
UNION |
1,515 |
3,600 |
42.08% |
3,320 |
45.63% |
T+63 |
UPSON |
1,003 |
2,786 |
36.00% |
2,571 |
39.01% |
T+34 |
WALKER |
2,981 |
5,848 |
50.97% |
5,780 |
51.57% |
T+59 |
WALTON |
1,591 |
10,448 |
15.23% |
9,890 |
16.09% |
T+49 |
WARE |
1,286 |
2,969 |
43.31% |
2,983 |
43.11% |
T+40 |
WARREN |
157 |
739 |
21.24% |
718 |
21.87% |
B+11 |
WASHINGTON |
1,056 |
2,492 |
42.38% |
2,788 |
37.88% |
B+.71 |
WAYNE |
856 |
2,127 |
40.24% |
1,999 |
42.82% |
T+57 |
WEBSTER |
118 |
351 |
33.62% |
294 |
40.14% |
T+8 |
WHEELER |
160 |
387 |
41.34% |
386 |
41.45% |
T+39 |
WHITE |
1,296 |
3,000 |
43.20% |
2,922 |
44.35% |
T+66 |
WHITFIELD |
2,484 |
6,526 |
38.06% |
6,124 |
40.56% |
T+41 |
WILCOX |
232 |
557 |
41.65% |
550 |
42.18% |
T+47 |
WILKES |
537 |
1,229 |
43.69% |
1,199 |
44.79% |
T+13 |
WILKINSON |
301 |
866 |
34.76% |
826 |
36.44% |
T+12 |
WORTH |
555 |
1,601 |
34.67% |
1,674 |
33.15% |
T+48 |
|
What do the mail ballot return numbers mean? It’s very early, I wouldn’t start reading “tea leaves” until we get to 750K returned mail ballots.
In comparing the 2020 general to the 2020 runoff:
1. 314,499 ballots have been returned compared to 1,320,154 for the General
2. Percentage wise, that means the runoff is at 23.82% (4.1% increase from the last posting) of the returns compared to the General.
3. Of the 314,499 ballot returns, 173,696 are from Biden counties (36K increase since the last posting), and 140,803 are from Trump counties (18K increase since the last posting).
4. In the general, out of the 1,320,154 returns, 823,960 came from Biden counties and 496,194 came from trump counties.
5. That means, Biden counties are currently returning 21.08% of the ballots (4.5% increase since the last posting) when compared to the 2020 general and Trump counties are returning 28.38% (3.6% increase since the last posting)
6. Overall, for the runoff, Biden counties have returned 55.23% of all mail ballots (3.5% increase since the last posting) and Trump counties have returned 44.77% (3.5% decrease since the last posting). In the General, this % was 62.41% for Biden counties and 37.59% for Trump counties.
7. Raw numbers wise; Democratic counties currently have a 32,893 mail return edge (18K increase since the last posting) on GOP counties out of 314,499 ballot returns. In the General, Democratic counties had a 327,766 edge on GOP counties out of 1,320,514 ballot returns.
Early In Person votes
In Person Early Votes
Couny |
2020 Early
In Person Votes
Runoff |
2020 In Person
Early votes
General |
Percent |
2020 winner |
APPLING |
382 |
0 |
#DIV/0! |
T +57% |
ATKINSON |
0 |
1877 |
0.00% |
T +47 |
BACON |
288 |
3399 |
8.47% |
T+73 |
BAKER |
77 |
737 |
10.45% |
T+16 |
BALDWIN |
300 |
10455 |
2.87% |
B+1.3 |
BANKS |
406 |
5596 |
7.26% |
T+78 |
BARROW |
1476 |
22239 |
6.64% |
T+43 |
BARTOW |
1344 |
27197 |
4.94% |
T+51 |
BEN HILL |
504 |
4514 |
11.17% |
T+26 |
BERRIEN |
349 |
4418 |
7.90% |
T+67 |
BIBB |
2278 |
33840 |
6.73% |
B+24 |
BLECKLEY |
263 |
3396 |
7.74% |
T+53 |
BRANTLEY |
360 |
4678 |
7.70% |
T+81 |
BROOKS |
292 |
3486 |
8.38% |
T+21 |
BRYAN |
1110 |
14043 |
7.90% |
T+35 |
BULLOCH |
843 |
14348 |
5.88% |
T+24 |
BURKE |
150 |
4690 |
3.20% |
T+1.8 |
BUTTS |
681 |
8417 |
8.09% |
T+44 |
CALHOUN |
91 |
972 |
9.36% |
B+15 |
CAMDEN |
1152 |
13691 |
8.41% |
T+31 |
CANDLER |
257 |
3037 |
8.46% |
T+42 |
CARROL |
2122 |
30615 |
6.93% |
T+39 |
CATOOSA |
1635 |
21084 |
7.75% |
T+56 |
CHARLTON |
226 |
2494 |
9.06% |
T+51 |
CHATHAM |
2992 |
54613 |
5.48% |
B+19 |
CHATTAHOCHEE |
86 |
813 |
10.58% |
T+13 |
CHATTOOGA |
339 |
5386 |
6.29% |
T+62 |
CHEROKEE |
3459 |
75996 |
4.55% |
T+39 |
CLARKE |
1332 |
23667 |
5.63% |
B+42 |
CLAY |
85 |
730 |
11.64% |
B+11 |
CLAYTON |
4368 |
59732 |
7.31% |
B+71 |
CLINCH |
133 |
1640 |
8.11% |
T+47 |
COBB |
6769 |
174244 |
3.88% |
B+14 |
COFFEE |
696 |
9544 |
7.29% |
T+40 |
COLQUITT |
595 |
8058 |
7.38% |
T+47 |
COLUMBIA |
2931 |
44866 |
6.53% |
T+26 |
COOK |
351 |
4345 |
8.08% |
T+40 |
COWETA |
1787 |
33685 |
5.31% |
T+36 |
CRAWFORD |
275 |
3568 |
7.71% |
T+46 |
CRISP |
444 |
4787 |
9.28% |
T+25 |
DADE |
322 |
4098 |
7.86% |
T+65 |
DAWSON |
764 |
10366 |
7.37% |
T+68 |
DECATUR |
594 |
7009 |
8.47% |
T+17 |
DEKALB |
15335 |
191581 |
8.00% |
B+67 |
DODGE |
107 |
3844 |
2.78% |
T+46 |
DOOLY |
211 |
2400 |
8.79% |
T+6 |
DOUGHERTY |
918 |
13016 |
7.05% |
B+40 |
DOUGLAS |
2866 |
38295 |
7.48% |
B+25 |
EARLY |
258 |
2628 |
9.82% |
T+5 |
ECHOLS |
55 |
1022 |
5.38% |
T+76 |
EFFINGHAM |
1066 |
17264 |
6.17% |
T+50 |
ELBERT |
362 |
0 |
#DIV/0! |
T+36 |
EMMANUEL |
426 |
4383 |
9.72% |
T+39 |
EVANS |
218 |
2678 |
8.14% |
T+37 |
FANNIN |
387 |
6792 |
5.70% |
T+65 |
FAYETTE |
2443 |
43070 |
5.67% |
T+7 |
FLOYD |
1042 |
22414 |
4.65% |
T+41 |
FORSYTH |
4602 |
84952 |
5.42% |
T+33 |
FRANKLIN |
393 |
6056 |
6.49% |
T+69 |
FULTON |
19808 |
318284 |
6.22% |
B+46 |
GILMER |
576 |
8136 |
7.08% |
T+64 |
GLASCOCK |
87 |
860 |
10.12% |
T+80 |
GLYNN |
1745 |
24696 |
7.07% |
T+23 |
GORDON |
751 |
11868 |
6.33% |
T+63 |
GRADY |
418 |
5775 |
7.24% |
T+32 |
GREENE |
717 |
6962 |
10.30% |
T+26 |
GWINNET |
10498 |
216811 |
4.84% |
B+18 |
HABERSHAM |
892 |
12942 |
6.89% |
T+64 |
HALL |
2673 |
53558 |
4.99% |
T+43 |
HANCOCK |
35 |
1780 |
1.97% |
B+44 |
HARALSON |
396 |
7010 |
5.65% |
T+74 |
HARRIS |
569 |
8783 |
6.48% |
T+44 |
HART |
537 |
7197 |
7.46% |
T+50 |
HEARD |
198 |
2559 |
7.74% |
T+68 |
HENRY |
5086 |
76712 |
6.63% |
B+20 |
HOUSTON |
2542 |
35984 |
7.06% |
T+12 |
IRWIN |
198 |
2646 |
7.48% |
T+51 |
JACKSON |
1202 |
24184 |
4.97% |
T+58 |
JASPER |
290 |
4261 |
6.81% |
T+53 |
JEFF DAVIS |
207 |
3273 |
6.32% |
T+64 |
JEFFERSON |
113 |
3734 |
3.03% |
B+7 |
JENKINS |
173 |
1809 |
9.56% |
T+26 |
JOHNSON |
258 |
2354 |
10.96% |
T+40 |
JONES |
472 |
8077 |
5.84% |
T+34 |
LAMAR |
332 |
5018 |
6.62% |
T+41 |
LANIER |
196 |
2320 |
8.45% |
T+42 |
LAURENS |
775 |
9994 |
7.75% |
T+28 |
LEE |
733 |
10214 |
7.18% |
T+45 |
LIBERTY |
1257 |
12209 |
10.30% |
B+24 |
LINCOLN |
201 |
2377 |
8.46% |
T+38 |
LONG |
233 |
3298 |
7.06% |
T+26 |
LOWNDES |
1490 |
28060 |
5.31% |
T+12 |
LUMPKIN |
741 |
9818 |
7.55% |
T+58 |
MACON |
345 |
2764 |
12.48% |
B+23 |
MADISON |
557 |
7658 |
7.27% |
T+53 |
MARION |
181 |
1861 |
9.73% |
T+27 |
MCDUFIE |
410 |
6546 |
6.26% |
T+19 |
MCINTOSH |
378 |
3707 |
10.20% |
T+21 |
MERIWETHER |
448 |
4940 |
9.07% |
T+21 |
MILLER |
130 |
1634 |
7.96% |
T+46 |
MITCHELL |
394 |
4381 |
8.99% |
T+10 |
MONROE |
799 |
9687 |
8.25% |
T+43 |
MONTGOMERY |
128 |
1927 |
6.64% |
T+50 |
MORGAN |
259 |
7292 |
3.55% |
T+42 |
MURRAY |
490 |
8854 |
5.53% |
T+69 |
MUSCOGEE |
3956 |
42780 |
9.25% |
B+24 |
NEWTON |
1041 |
20788 |
5.01% |
B+11 |
OCONEE |
1402 |
15882 |
8.83% |
T+34 |
OGELTHORPE |
453 |
4781 |
9.48% |
T+39 |
PAULDING |
2623 |
51099 |
5.13% |
T+29 |
PEACH |
758 |
8166 |
9.28% |
T+5 |
PICKENS |
0 |
7395 |
0.00% |
T+66 |
PIERCE |
507 |
6407 |
7.91% |
T+75 |
PIKE |
389 |
6600 |
5.89% |
T+71 |
POLK |
666 |
11044 |
6.03% |
T+57 |
PULASKI |
210 |
2844 |
7.38% |
T+39 |
PUTNAM |
468 |
6530 |
7.17% |
T+41 |
QUITMAN |
76 |
550 |
13.82% |
T+10 |
RABUN |
400 |
5550 |
7.21% |
T+57 |
RANDOLPH |
186 |
1663 |
11.18% |
B+9 |
RICHMOND |
2021 |
38070 |
5.31% |
B+37 |
ROCKDALE |
1446 |
25901 |
5.58% |
B+41 |
SCHLEY |
147 |
1587 |
9.26% |
T+59 |
SCREVEN |
236 |
3425 |
6.89% |
T+19 |
SEMINOLE |
180 |
2084 |
8.64% |
T+35 |
SPALDING |
1257 |
13533 |
9.29% |
T+21 |
STEPHENS |
390 |
8127 |
4.80% |
T+59 |
STEWART |
112 |
970 |
11.55% |
B+19 |
SUMTER |
476 |
0 |
#DIV/0! |
B+5 |
TALBOT |
134 |
1309 |
10.24% |
B+20 |
TALIAFERRO |
42 |
421 |
9.98% |
B+22 |
TATTNAL |
345 |
4827 |
7.15% |
T+49 |
TAYLOR |
47 |
2408 |
1.95% |
T+27 |
TELFAIR |
163 |
2060 |
7.91% |
T+31 |
TERRELL |
189 |
2047 |
9.23% |
B+8 |
THOMAS |
1206 |
13488 |
8.94% |
T+19 |
TIFT |
664 |
9653 |
6.88% |
T+34 |
TOOMBS |
506 |
6178 |
8.19% |
T+45 |
TOWNS |
427 |
4903 |
8.71% |
T+61 |
TREUTLEN |
0 |
1945 |
0.00% |
T+37 |
TROUP |
987 |
15923 |
6.20% |
T+22 |
TURNER |
0 |
2548 |
0.00% |
T+25 |
TWIGGS |
150 |
2105 |
7.13% |
T+7 |
UNION |
689 |
8259 |
8.34% |
T+63 |
UPSON |
554 |
8092 |
6.85% |
T+34 |
WALKER |
520 |
16829 |
3.09% |
T+59 |
WALTON |
1697 |
29100 |
5.83% |
T+49 |
WARE |
532 |
8018 |
6.64% |
T+40 |
WARREN |
160 |
1412 |
11.33% |
B+11 |
WASHINGTON |
361 |
4328 |
8.34% |
B+.71 |
WAYNE |
409 |
7673 |
5.33% |
T+57 |
WEBSTER |
34 |
759 |
4.48% |
T+8 |
WHEELER |
7 |
1247 |
0.56% |
T+39 |
WHITE |
633 |
7822 |
8.09% |
T+66 |
WHITFIELD |
1025 |
18243 |
5.62% |
T+41 |
WILCOX |
119 |
1688 |
7.05% |
T+47 |
WILKES |
240 |
2566 |
9.35% |
T+13 |
WILKINSON |
169 |
2061 |
8.20% |
T+12 |
WORTH |
369 |
4307 |
8.57% |
T+48 |
|
1. 168,293 votes have been tabulated compared to 2,694,763 for the General
2. Percentage wise, that means the runoff is at 6.25% of the votes compared to the General.
3. Of the 168,293 votes, 84,600 are from Biden counties, and 83,693 are from Trump counties.
4. In the general, out of the 2,694,763 votes, 1,373,128 came from Biden counties and 1,321,635 came from trump counties.
5. That means, Biden counties are currently at 6.16% of votes when compared to the 2020 general and Trump counties are at 6.33% of votes.
6. Overall, for the runoff, Biden counties are at 50.27% of all early in person votes and Trump counties are at 49.73% of all early in person votes. In the General, this % was 50.96% for Biden counties and 49.04% for Trump counties.
7. Raw numbers wise; Democratic counties currently have a 907 vote edge on GOP counties out of 168,291 early in person votes. In the General, Democratic counties had a 51,493 edge on GOP counties out of 2,694,763 ballot returns.