It's not about Sarah Palin, Stupid.

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Monday September 15, 2008 · 7:45 AM PDT

2008/09/15 · 07:45

It’s been a long time since I’ve written a diary here. My sense is that there are people doing good research who have a lot more to add than I do and I hesitate to clutter the airwaves. That said, I need to say my piece here. So now, all of you, and you know who I mean:

Go to the blackboard and write 10 times:

It is not about Sarah Palin.
It is not about Sarah Palin.
It is not about Sarah Palin.
It is not about Sarah Palin.
It is not about Sarah Palin.
It is not about Sarah Palin.
It is not about Sarah Palin.
It is not about Sarah Palin.
It is not about Sarah Palin.
It is not about Sarah Palin.

VermontProg

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Friday May 23, 2008 · 5:09 PM PDT

2008/05/23 · 17:09

Bill Clinton did not wrap the 1992 nomination up in June. May? Nope. April? Try again? Here's an article from the NY Times, dated MARCH 20, 1992. MARCH 20, 1992.

"Former Senator Paul E. Tsongas of Massachusetts withdrew from the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination today, a decision that many in his party said all but insured the selection of Gov. Bill Clinton of Arkansas.

Mr. Tsongas announced his departure at a news conference in Boston, where he said his campaign did not have enough money to continue. His move leaves only former Gov. Edmund G. Brown Jr. of California to compete with Mr. Clinton in the remaining primaries and caucuses in 21 states."

If they don't call the race at 8 pm

VermontProg

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Tuesday April 22, 2008 · 2:28 PM PDT

2008/04/22 · 14:28

This is posted as a question. I don't pretend to know the answer. Let's assume that Obama can't win big enough for them to call the race for him quickly.

If they don't call the race for Hillary right at 8, does that mean she's won, if she wins at all, by less than 10?
Does it mean that she's won by less than 5?
Does it mean anything at all?

Any ideas?

Bare Debauchery at Franconia College

VermontProg

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Saturday April 05, 2008 · 5:25 AM PDT

2008/04/05 · 05:25

"Bare Debauchery at Franconia College: Drugs, Liquor, Sex Rampant on Campus." Manchester (NH) Union Leader, April 5, 1968.

That was the headline, forty years ago today, above the masthead, above the headline below, "Dr. King Killed by Sniper." The article, by Arthur C. Egan, started out, "A wonderful dream has turned into a terrible nightmare." This is a townsman's characterization of an institution of "higher learning" which is making a mockery of education--a school whose birth was the pride of this White Mountain community, but has now become an arena for scenes of incredible debauchery."

"College policy allows virtually unlimited license to students and faculty alike-in the pursuit of academic studies and personal pleasures. Drugs, alcohol and sex are among the main ingredients of campus life."

VermontProg

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Monday March 31, 2008 · 6:17 AM PDT

2008/03/31 · 06:17

I say let Hillary have Florida and Michigan; they simply don't help her cause.

Using the counts from demconwatch, with Florida and Michigan and giving Obama the 55 "Anybody but Hillary" delegates from Michigan, she trails Obama by 59 delegates. Now add on to Obama's count the 4 "Pelosi Club" delegates and the 7 North Carolina congressmen and Obama's lead is up to 70.

When you consider that Clinton's Superdelegate lead has diminished from nearly 100 to 22 in the last month or so, and when you consider that the "Pelosi Club" is only likely to grow, I think it's a fair assumption that Obama will garner at least half of the remaining uncommitted Superdelegates.

That leaves Hillary needing to erase Obama's 70 delegate lead in the remaining primaries, even in the unlikely event of her capturing half the remaining Supers. That simply isn't happening. Obama, even capitulating on Michigan and Florida, will win the nomination by somewhere in the vicinity of 100 delegates.

William Proxmire, RIP

VermontProg

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Thursday December 15, 2005 · 7:13 AM PST

2005/12/15 · 07:13

Many here are too young to remember William Proxmire, one of the finest public servants this country has ever known. Proxmire was elected to the Senate in 1957 to complete the unexpired term of Joe McCarthy. Ironic that one of the worst senators in our history was replace by one of the best.

Proxmire was among the first, if not the first, to buck the Democratic establishment in opposing the war in Vietnam.

What he's best remembered for, however, is the Golden Fleece Awards, which he bestowed annually to commemorate the frivolous expenditure of taxpayer money. He retired in 1988 and passed this morning at 90. We need more like him. Here's a link to his AP obit. http://news.yahoo.com/...

Great News from Broward

VermontProg

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Friday October 29, 2004 · 6:35 AM PDT

2004/10/29 · 06:35

My friend in Broward County Florida expects that county to help deliver the state to the good guys. Here's the first few paragraphs from the Ft. Lauderdale Sun Sentinel this morning. The link has the rest.

http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/local/southflorida/sfl-cvoting29oct29,0,6418321.story?coll=sfla-hom e-headlines

By Scott Wyman
Staff writer

Overwhelming numbers of Broward County Democrats have turned out to vote early in next week's election in what analysts say could be a bad sign for President Bush's chances to win the state.

Sen. John Kerry's campaign has pressed hard to get voters to the polls early in Broward's Democratic strongholds, knowing it must run up huge numbers here to offset Republican areas in Northern and Central Florida. As of Thursday morning, more than twice as many Democrats as Republicans had either voted at early voting sites or returned absentee ballots in the county. Read More

John Stewart on Crossfire. Is there a clip?

VermontProg

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Saturday October 16, 2004 · 1:04 PM PDT

2004/10/16 · 13:04

I've heard that Jon Stewart skewered Tucker Carlson on Crossfire this past week. Can anybody direct me/us to a viewable clip of it anywhere on the internets?

Zogby: Race Kerry's to Lose (Pre-Debate)

VermontProg

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Friday October 01, 2004 · 9:54 AM PDT

2004/10/01 · 09:54

This story was posted by Zogby yesterday afternoon prior to the debate. He pretty much mirrors what EJ Dionne said a week or so ago on NPR.

Dionne spoke of the "two majorities" in this election. The majority of people don't want Bush to have a second term; the other majority isn't (wasn't ?) convinced about Kerry. Kerry's job was to make the second majority a minority.

Zogby's piece in extended entry. Read More

We're Ahead; Get to Work Redux and Revised

VermontProg

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Thursday September 30, 2004 · 6:05 AM PDT

2004/09/30 · 06:05

I'd like to thank everyone who recommended this diary and helped to get it well positioned and well read. I'd also like to thank all those who contributed ways in which we can all get involved. This time I have two requests: 1) Please recommend this one to get it similarly well positioned and 2) please keep replys limited to other ways in which people can get involved in the movement to register voters and get out the vote. While debating the issues and polls is great, I'd like to keep this diary limited to volunteer efforts. And a side note to Markos: while your nags for financial support are helpful and welcome, with just one month left until the election, could you add volunteerism to your nagging?

So here is the diary revised. I've compiled all the relevant information in one easy to read package and eliminated all the comments that are not directly related to things we can all do.

First the links I started with:
You can sign up at the Kerry web-site. The link is http://volunteer.johnkerry.com/profile/new/
You can sign up at Move-On. The link is http://www.moveon.org/keepmeposted/volunteer.html
You can sign up at American Coming Together. The link is http://actforvictory.org/act.php/home/static/volunteer_form
There are many ways to help from hitting the streets to sitting on your couch with your phone and laptop.

Join Howard Dean tonight; Volunteer Opportunity

VermontProg

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Wednesday September 29, 2004 · 7:33 AM PDT

2004/09/29 · 07:33

Howard Dean will be leading an online party tonight launching MoveOn's Leave No Voter Behind campaign. This will be followed by an hour of phone banking. All you need to participate is the ability to use your phone while staying online. The link to sign up is http://www.moveonpac.org/launchparty.html

"Dear MoveOn member,

We've just confirmed we'll hear from Governor Howard Dean during Wednesday's launch party for Leave No Voter Behind. This is exciting news, and we hope you'll be able to come.

Our nation-wide online party will be hosted by MoveOn PAC's Eli Pariser and Adam Ruben, who will share an inside perspective on this new program and tell you about the best ways to help win this election."

We're Ahead; Get to Work

VermontProg

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Wednesday September 29, 2004 · 4:43 AM PDT

2004/09/29 · 04:43

Using a few assumptions, Kerry and Edwards are slightly ahead in their quest to eliminate the forces of darkness.

Assumption 1. Bush's approval rating (Zogby 47%) makes him nearly unelectable. Conventional wisdom is that he is unbeatable above 53% and unelectable below 46%. This makes him a longshot.

Assumption 2. According to EJ Dionne of the Post, there are two majorities in this election. The majority that doesn't want Bush elected and the majority that isn't convinced that they want Kerry either. This assumption is that Kerry doesn't need to beat Bush in the debates; he simply needs to present himself as a worthy alternative. He needs to convince the fence-sitters.

Assumption 3. Because of changing paradigms, John Kerry will beat the polls by 2-4 points. This election will be won or lost on the ground and, to date, we're blowing the bad guys away. The NY Times, as many of you have read, reports that we're beating them big time in registering new voters. Using the assumption that Kerry is only a point or two behind (Rasmussen/Zogby/CSM), he is, then, ahead if he beats the polls by these 2-4 points. According to electoral-vote.com, Bush is under 50% in every swing state but Missouri, Colorado and Wisconsin, and I'm not buying the Wisconsin poll. Every one is still winnable. Read More

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It's not about Sarah Palin, Stupid.

Bill, June? May, nope. Try March.

If they don't call the race at 8 pm

Bare Debauchery at Franconia College

Give Hillary FL and MI

William Proxmire, RIP

Great News from Broward

John Stewart on Crossfire. Is there a clip?

Zogby: Race Kerry's to Lose (Pre-Debate)

We're Ahead; Get to Work Redux and Revised

Join Howard Dean tonight; Volunteer Opportunity

We're Ahead; Get to Work