PPP FL: O50, R49 (Updated)

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Sunday November 04, 2012 · 9:18 PM PST

2012/11/04 · 21:18

Our final Florida poll finds Barack Obama leading 50/49. Or more precisely 473 respondents to 472 respondents #recount
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) November 5, 2012

Bill Nelson leads our final Florida Senate poll 51/46
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) November 5, 2012

Romney up 61/38 with seniors in FL- Ryan didn't hurt. Obama up with every other age group: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/11/f…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) November 5, 2012

In Florida Obama's support is coming from women (52/47), Hispanics (53/47), and African Americans (91/9): publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/11/f…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) November 5, 2012

In Florida Romney's strongest support is coming from men (53/47) and white voters (59/40): publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/11/f…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) November 5, 2012

PPP PA: O52, R46, Casey +8 (Updated!)

aThracian

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Saturday November 03, 2012 · 5:52 PM PDT

2012/11/03 · 17:52

Our final Pennsylvania poll finds Barack Obama leading 52-46 and Bob Casey leading 52-44
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) November 4, 2012

2008 coalition intact for Obama in PA- up 57/42 with women, 90/8 with African Americans, 66/34 with young voters: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/11/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) November 4, 2012

In the PA Senate race Bob Casey leads Tom Smith 52-44 because he's taking 15% of Republicans and up 49/41 with indys: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/11/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) November 4, 2012

Casey's approval back on narrowly positive ground at 42/41. Smith's favorability is 38/40: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/11/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) November 4, 2012

Selzer Iowa: O47, R42

aThracian

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Saturday November 03, 2012 · 5:14 PM PDT

2012/11/03 · 17:14

Taken on behalf of the Des Moines Register

http://blogs.desmoinesregister.com/...

Obama is up 5 percentage points in Iowa, leading Republican Mitt Romney 47 percent to 42 percent, according to a new Des Moines Register Iowa Poll, although the results also contain signs of hope for Romney, political strategists said.

President Barack Obama does best with union households (31 points better than Mitt Romney), unmarried voters (up 28 points), younger voters (up 17), those with no more than a high school education (up 16), seniors (up 12), in the 1st Congressional District in eastern and southeastern Iowa (up 12) and with women (up 11 points).
Obama, a Democrat, also does well with Iowans who did not participate in the 2010 election, winning 53 percent to 31 percent among this group.

Romney, a Republican, does best with evangelicals (26 points better than Obama), voters in Iowa’s 4th Congressional District in northwest Iowa (up 19 points), married moms (up 18), affluent voters (up 17), married voters (up 10), middle-age voters (up 9), people with minor children (up 5), and with men (up 3).

PPP WI: O51, R48, Baldwin also +3 (Updated!)

aThracian

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Saturday November 03, 2012 · 5:00 PM PDT

2012/11/03 · 17:00

Our final Wisconsin poll finds both Barack Obama and Tammy Baldwin leading 51-48. Pretty close races there
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) November 3, 2012

In Wisconsin Obama thanks to leads of 5/44 with women, 63/32 with non-white voters, and 55/45 with those under 30: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/11/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) November 4, 2012

Tammy Baldwin leads Tommy Thompson 51-48 in the Wisconsin Senate race, thanks to a 55/41 edge with independents: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/11/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) November 4, 2012

Wisconsin voters don't really like either Senate candidate- Baldwin fav is 44/50, Thompson's is 44/48: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/11/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) November 4, 2012

CNN-ORC Ohio: O50, R47

aThracian

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Friday November 02, 2012 · 1:03 PM PDT

2012/11/02 · 13:03

BREAKING: New CNN-ORC Ohio poll of LV's: Obama 50, Romney 47. +/- 3.5%. Party ID: D-32%, R-30%, I-38%. CNNPolitics.com
— Sam Feist (@SamFeistCNN) November 2, 2012

Edit: Link to CNN website (thanks to dKos user First Amendment!): http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/...

Choice quotes:

"The race in the Buckeye State has remained essentially the same throughout October, with all three CNN/ORC polls taken in October showing President Obama at 50%-51% and all three showing Governor Romney at 46%-47%," said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.

The gender, generation and income gaps that CNN polls have indicated in other states are readily apparent in Ohio as well, with Obama winning women by 16 points, lower-income voters by 30 points and those under age 50 by 15 points, while Romney leads among men by 13 points, and holds the advantage with older voters by 6 points and those making more than $50,000 per year.

According to the poll, 63% of those who say they have already voted early or who plan to cast a ballot before next Tuesday say they support the president, with 35% backing Romney. But Romney has the 55%-42% advantage among those who plan to vote on Election Day.

PPP National Tracking: O49, R48

aThracian

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Thursday November 01, 2012 · 7:54 PM PDT

2012/11/01 · 19:54

Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney 49-48 based on our national tracking Tuesday-Thursday night. Had been down 1 before: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/11/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) November 2, 2012

Obama's seen a 3 pt improvement in his net approval over the last week from -5 at 46/51 to -2 at 48/50: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/11/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) November 2, 2012

Obama's reduced Romney's lead with independents from 8 pts to 3 pts over the last 4 days: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/11/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) November 2, 2012

Romney leads 59-38 with whites nationally, but Obama up 91-5 with African Americans, 69-29 with Hispanics: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/11/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) November 2, 2012

Youth vote so important to Obama- trails with every other age group but 58/38 lead with them leaves him +1 overall: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/11/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) November 2, 2012

PPP Ohio: O51, R47 (Updated!) Sherrod Brown also up 53-42

aThracian

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Sunday October 28, 2012 · 3:14 PM PDT

2012/10/28 · 15:14

Our new Ohio poll finds Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney 51-47, up from 49-48 last week
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) October 28, 2012

Updated:

Ohio voters think Obama won the debates as a whole 45/43. Looks like last 2 made up for the first one: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) October 28, 2012

Obama's approval in Ohio is 51/48, Romney's favorability is 47/51: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) October 28, 2012

Ohio voters trust Obama over Romney on both the economy (52/46) and foreign policy (54/44): publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) October 28, 2012

Obama has a 63-36 lead among early voters in OH (36% of electorate) Romney up 53-45 with those yet to vote: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) October 28, 2012

Obama's increased his OH lead over last week because of increased unity among Democrats- from 86/14 to 88/10: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) October 28, 2012

In Ohio Obama has big leads with women (55/43), African Americans (86/12), and young voters (60/36): publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) October 28, 2012

In Ohio Romney is ahead with men (52/46), whites (52/46), and seniors (54/45). Needs to win bigger with whites and men: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) October 28, 2012

Sherrod Brown breaking open the Ohio Senate race- now leads Josh Mandel 53/42: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) October 28, 2012

Ohio's referendum to create an independent redistricting commission is being defeated 37/48: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) October 28, 2012

OH Dems support independent redistricting commission (55/30), but Republicans much more unified in opposition (12/72): publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) October 28, 2012

No enthusiasm gap in Ohio- 69% of Democrats, 68% of Republicans say they're 'very excited' to vote this year: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) October 28, 2012

Democrats lead the generic Congressional ballot in Ohio 50/42: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) October 28, 2012

PPP NH: O49, R47 (Updated!)

aThracian

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Sunday October 28, 2012 · 2:01 PM PDT

2012/10/28 · 14:01

Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney 49/47 in New Hampshire, a 3 point improvement from our poll last week when he was down 49/48.
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) October 28, 2012

Updated:

NH voters narrowly approve of Obama's job performance, 49/48. Not big on Romney, 47/51 favorability: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) October 28, 2012

NH voters trust Romney over Obama on the economy, 49/47, but trust Obama over Romney on foreign policy 51/46: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) October 28, 2012

Asked who won debates as a whole, NH voters pick Romney 46/43. Obama pretty much made up for 1st debate with last two: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) October 28, 2012

Women really are the key to Obama's lead in New Hampshire- up 57/39 with them. Romney 56/39 with men: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) October 28, 2012

Romney's up 47/45 with NH independents, but Obama taking 9% of Republicans to Romney's 6% of Democrats: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) October 28, 2012

Democrat Maggie Hassan leads Republican Ovide Lamontagne 48-44 in the New Hampshire Governor's race: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) October 28, 2012

Hassan's favorability is 46/40, Lamontagne is quite unpopular at 41/51. Hassan up 6 with indys, 19 with women: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) October 28, 2012

70% of Democrats, 66% of Republicans in New Hampshire 'very excited' to vote this fall. No real enthusiasm gap: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) October 28, 2012

Democrats lead the generic legislative ballot in New Hampshire 46-43, including 40/37 with independents: publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/o…
— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) October 28, 2012

PPP New Mexico: O 53, R 44

aThracian

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Friday October 26, 2012 · 1:16 PM PDT

2012/10/26 · 13:16

https://twitter.com/...

Our new New Mexico poll, done for environmental groups, finds Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney 53-44

Martin Heinrich continues to have a wide lead over Heather Wilson in the New Mexico Senate race, 52-44

Barack Obama and Martin Heinrich have both led consistently by ~10 points in NM since Labor Day. Probably our last poll of the cycle there

CNN Ohio: O 50, R 46 likely voters

aThracian

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Friday October 26, 2012 · 1:03 PM PDT

2012/10/26 · 13:03

BREAKING: New CNN-ORC Ohio poll of likely voters. Obama 50%, Romney 46%. +/- 3.5%. Party ID: D-35%, I-33%, R-32%.
— Sam Feist (@SamFeistCNN) October 26, 2012

Edit: Link to CNN article now up

According to the survey, the gender gap has tightened a bit, but the basic storyline remains the same. Obama holds a 56%-42% advantage among female voters, with the GOP challenger up 50%-44% among men.
The poll indicates Obama maintains a small but critical advantage among independent voters. In early October, he had a 50%-46% margin among independents - virtually identical to the 49%-44% edge he has today

Among those who have voted early or plan to vote before Election Day, Obama holds a 59%-38% lead, with Romney up 51%-44% among those who say they'll vote on Election Day. Ninety-two percent of likely voters say they've made up their minds, with 4% saying they could change their minds.

Edit #2:

Fancy chart from TPM showing the difference in Ohio between automated and live polls:

Source: Talking Points Memo, "Live Polls Show Obama With Bigger Leads In Ohio"

Ohio's largest paper endorses President Obama

aThracian

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Saturday October 20, 2012 · 3:22 PM PDT

2012/10/20 · 15:22

The Plain Dealer has endorsed President Barack Obama for reelection.

Some choice quotes:

Today, we recommend President Obama's re-election. He has led the nation back from the brink of depression. Ohio in particular has benefited from his bold decision to revive the domestic auto industry. Because of his determination to fulfill a decades-old dream of Democrats, 30 million more Americans will soon have health insurance. His Race to the Top initiative seeded many of the education reforms embodied in Cleveland's Transformation Plan. He ended the war in Iraq and refocused the battle to disrupt al-Qaida and its terrorist allies. He ordered the risky attack inside Pakistan that killed Osama bin Laden.

Obama told the companies to restructure using the Bankruptcy Court and set conditions for government financing: GM's chairman had to go. Excess plants and dealerships had to close. Chrysler had to be bought out by Fiat. Contracts had to be renegotiated.
It was unpopular but gutsy. And it worked. Ohioans today are making cars in Lordstown and Toledo. They're making parts and steel for Ford, Honda and other automakers. They're back on the job.

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