Whats so hard to understand?

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Wednesday November 05, 2014 · 7:41 AM PST

2014/11/05 · 07:41

Dont overthink it. Obamas approval rating on election day exit polls was similar to GWB at 2006. Both ended in the same result for their parties. You cannot outrun the fundamentals. People are more likely to vote against the president's party than for some local candidate in mid terms.

It may feel worse than 2010 but it shouldnt. 2010 was atrocious because we lost senate seats in blue states. That did not happen last night. We lost senate seats in Red States. NC is a red state that is trending blue but even Obama didnt win it in 2012. Virginia was close, but we still won. EG ran probably the best campaign of any republican candidate btw. Meanwhile Warner was asleep at the wheel. But we still won.

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chomskyownsbuckley

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Tuesday October 09, 2012 · 10:23 AM PDT

2012/10/09 · 10:23

Approval rating 3 day average for Obama:

53 to 42.

Follow along for a little analysis.

chomskyownsbuckley

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Thursday October 04, 2012 · 10:50 AM PDT

2012/10/04 · 10:50

Just felt like writing my first diary with some analysis about the debates and what they mean going forward, looking at raw numbers and some history. First, I thought Romney beat the crap out of Obama. He took it to him. Second, at first glance the snap polls and analysis seemed to bury Obama and signal a comeback story and possible game change. Finally, some deeper analysis and history tells us that the Obama prevent defense strategy was the correct one. Follow me below the cool line for more.

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Whats so hard to understand?

The Gallup Number that should calm you down

First Diary, Remember History and Math