The Florida and Ohio SV Polls Released Last Night

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Friday October 10, 2008 · 5:17 AM PDT

2008/10/10 · 05:17

Favorable. And then some.

From pollster.com:

http://www.pollster.com/...

Strategic Vision (R)
10/6-8/2008;
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

Florida
1,200 likely voters, +/-3
Obama 52, McCain 44
(9/23: Obama 45, McCain 48)

Ohio
1,200 likely voters, +/-3
Obama 48, McCain 46
(9/9: Obama 44, McCain 48)

membengal

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Friday September 26, 2008 · 8:11 AM PDT

2008/09/26 · 08:11

Only the most optimistic scenarios have Obama with much of a chance to win Mississippi (although he has far more of a chance than in my home state of TN).

But what happens in that Mississippi if for some reason, McCain actually does the unthinkable and skips tonight's debate?

membengal

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Saturday September 20, 2008 · 9:23 AM PDT

2008/09/20 · 09:23

For far too long, we on the left have been tied into knots by the hard rights ability to scare the populace with labels such as "tax and spend" "socialist" "welfare queen" etc. etc. etc. and drive accompanying narratives that made Republicans seem like some sort of free market defenders of all that is good and pure about the generic definition of America. Against that tide we have again and again been unable to win the narrative battles with those we needed (the media, swing voters, co-workers, family, friends, etc.) to frame this discussion in a way that would allow us to successfully push nationalized health care, comprehensive poverty relief, an energy policy that makes even a shred of sense and like programs.

And then, this past week happened, and George Bush decisively led this country into socialism.

membengal

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Tuesday July 08, 2008 · 5:00 AM PDT

2008/07/08 · 05:00

So...among the top 10 workplace irritants, where does the e-mail bully rank?

I have said person easily in the top five. And in an election year? Probably the number one most irritating workplace person.

What is an e-mail bully? Well, 999 times out of 1000, as near as I can tell, it is a Republican wingnut who has just discovered cut and paste and right wing talking points and has no qualms about flooding the "send all" portion of Outlook with proof of his/her new mad skillz.

membengal

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Thursday February 14, 2008 · 7:18 AM PST

2008/02/14 · 07:18

Plenty of diaries on Penn's latest theme and how ill-advised it is. But let's look at that a little closer. Penn has by and large dismissed states Obama has won as not significant, or not nearly as significant as the ones HRC has won (the big BIG ones).

Setting aside that Obama would win the same states HRC won that are likely going Dem regardless in the fall, let's look at how ill-advised that message of Penn's is.

From 2004, Kerry won:

membengal

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Thursday February 07, 2008 · 1:45 PM PST

2008/02/07 · 13:45

We've seen it thrown around on both sides of a very competitive race. From very passionate supporters of each candidate. Full disclosure: I am a TN resident, and if Obama doesn't win the nomination, I will vote third party green this fall. I can do that relatively guilt-free, as neither Barack nor Hillary is winning this state.

I will NOT go into why I would vote like that, but rather part of what I think that particular reaction is (for those on both sides who hold this view).

I am 37-year-old life-long Dem, never voted anything but Dem on any ticket. I have also, for the first time ever, been fully tuned into and emotionally and financially invested in a candidate and campaign. First time I have ever donated money (and have done it several times). First time I have ever volunteered at a local level. First time for sticker-on-car. The whole nine yards. My chips are in the middle of the table, and my heart is on my sleeve. I have never really experienced this before. Never.

membengal

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Friday October 20, 2006 · 7:27 AM PDT

2006/10/20 · 07:27

This is my first attempt at a diary on here (new registered user, long-time reader) and approach this with some trepidation. At any rate, heard something interesting in Memphis on my drive to work today. Read More

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The Florida and Ohio SV Polls Released Last Night

Fallout in Mississippi IF McCain Skips Debate?

Time to Press the Terminology Advantage

Hey. You. Work E-mail bully.

The Electoral Math Problem of Penn/HRC Campaign

The "I'm Sitting it Out" Theme

New Republican Ad Running in Memphis