In Greenberg and Carville's latest
Democracy Corp Memo (PDF) they say:
The close of the debates has moved John Kerry into a small lead in the latest Democracy Corps polls, 50 to 47 percent, which puts him in a strong position to win on November 2nd. The race is still close and the Democrats still need to win the final battle over mobilization, but they go into this phase with many advantages over the Republicans. Indeed, the race has consolidated after the debates in many ways that make it harder for Bush to catch Kerry in the sprint to the end.
Other Key Points:
The undecided in this election are populist change voters. By 63 to 28 percent, they want to go in a significantly different direction than Bush; they are critical of big corporations; and break two-to-one Democratic at the congressional
level.
What makes it difficult for George Bush to change the contours of the race is the growing mood for change in the country. This is not an incumbent moment. The number saying the country is headed off on the wrong track jumped to 55 percent in this survey, with only 40 percent saying things are going in the right direction. The CBS/New York Times poll reported 57 percent saying things were going wrong. Democracy Corps has an additional question: do you want to continue in Bush's direction or go in a "significantly different direction." The desire for change rose to 54 percent, a new high going into this final phase; just 44 percent wanted to continue with Bush's direction, 3 points under his vote.
There is other great stuff in here. Doesn't mean it is in the bag yet. We need to work, and as I said in a previous Diary - Visualize a Kerry win (and a Democratic Senate) between now and election day. Let's not focus on Bush or his negative attacks. Keep in mind the emotion we will feel with a Kerry victory. Visulaize a Kerry Victory. And work to make it happen.