Update: The story just posted on the LVRJ site:
LVRJ poll
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This is from MyDD:
LVRJ to show Clinton up by 9 points
The LVRJ is The Las Vegas Review Journal newspaper.
I have no idea if this is true or not, but the supposed original source is an email sent out by journalist Jon Ralston. Ralston would have the access to this kind of information, one would think.
Of course, this apparent 'lead' for Clinton could mean absolutely nothing, as New Hampshire just showed. And Nevada's caucus is frequently described as notoriously difficult to poll for accurately.
One of the commenters on the MyDD thread says that it appeared to another site poster that Clinton's GOTV operation is much stronger than Obama's (more fliers, ...).
Here is that comment, from poster "georgep" at 3:11:10 PM EST, Thurs, Jan. 17:
Desmoulins told us in a diary yesterday that he is getting numerous GOTV phone calls from the Hillary camp over the last 48 hrs., none from the Obama camp. Also, he has seen the Clinton team blanket his mixed (strong part Hispanic)neighborhood with Spanish-language fliers, nothing from Obama. I think Clinton may win NV, and if she does it appears that she once again outhustled and outorganized Obama (like in NH.)
We won't have long to find out.
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Congrats to the Obama supporters for the dismissal of the lawsuit which sought to block the temporary caucus sites on the strip.
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Update 2:
Taken from a comment by Greuben -- this is Jon Ralston (who sent out the email tip) on the LVRJ and the caucuses:
The RJ, ever-fearful that the Internet-illiterate newspaper will be scooped on its own information by someone who knows about new media, put out its results early of its poll that will be released Friday. The RJ indicates in an email to subscribers shows that Mitt Romney is ahead by 15 and Hillary Clinton by 9. The Mason-Dixon results contrast with those Research 2000 results a few days ago published by the Gazette-Journal, which showed dead heats on both sides.
The problem is that no one — and I mean, no one — has any idea what the turnout will be. I will go out on a limb and say it will be somewhere between the 9,000 of 2004 and the 100,000 forecast by Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid. If half of Reid’s prediction turn out for the first-ever important caucus, that would be a huge success.
Polling for caucuses is difficult enough. Polling for a caucus in a state where this has never happened like this is nearly impossible.
Ralston on LVRJ, Nevada Caucus