Folks I think it is safe to say that that the McCain bounce is effectively over. A new Star/WTHR Indiana poll show Senator Obama edging out Senator McCain in the Hoosier state 47%-44% with a 4% MOE.
Here is the link to the poll: http://www.indystar.com/...
I know to some people the 4% MOE and the fact that this poll differs from the averages would lead some to say that this is an outlier. I would however beg to differ. I think Senator Obama has finally taken the lead in a state that he has been showing exceptional potential in winning.
I think this is going to be one of those states that we have to watch closely come election night, don't be suprised folks if this one is as close as it was in the primary when many expected Hillary Clinton to win the state in a cake walk. I'm going to make a prediction, if Sen Obama wins Indiana he will win the election in a landslide. This is especially for those out there on the West Coast, watch what Indiana does and if we win that state you can rest easy knowing that Colorado is more than likely heading in the same direction as is the rest of the county.
I think Sen Obama has a lot of clout in Indiana just as he does in Iowa which is in large part due to its proximity to his home state of IL. In Indiana and Iowa certain regions of the state that border IL such as East Chicago, IN receive a lot of IL media.
Sen Obama is leading Sen McCain 54-40% in the Indianapolis area, the most populist area of the state and McCain leads in all other regions of the state. An Obama win largely depends on if he can drive out lots of voters in the Indianapolis area, something I think he will achieve. Indiana and other battleground states are going to take Sen McCain by suprise when Obama wins them just as in 2004 George W. Bush drove out large numbers of voters in Ohio to put him over the top against John Kerry. We're seeing the same unprecedented GOTV effort as the 2004 Bush campaign but on a nation scale.
Of course this one poll isn't the end all and a time to high five one another just yet but it is a sign that this election is on our sides and we must work hard by phonebanking, canvassing and donating to the campaign to sure up victory in the Hoosier state. Lets go win!