I say Wisconsin and Nevada are ours. I'm a little surprised that Nevada has gone so well, but there it is. Obviously either Florida or North Carolina is quite possible and welcome but I'm putting them aside for the moment.
Of the five left (Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, Iowa, New Hampshire) :
1. Win only one, Ohio, game over.
2. Even if you lose Ohio (I'd rather not thank you very much), win Virginia and ANY one of the others. Game over.
3. Lose BOTH Ohio and Virginia (sure, make my life difficult) but win the other 3 (Colorado, Iowa and new Hampshire) and it's over.
Dead girl live boy is the only Romney momentum.
Can this election be lost? Sure. Complacency; low energy GOTV insufficient to overcome the usual minor vote counting tricks. But the assertion that there is any Romney lead or Romney momentum at this point is simply a Hail Mary prayer to a pro-Rape God. It may fool the media but it shouldn't fool any informed citizen.