Just now (5:35 pm PST), I was invited into a telephone town hall with Patrick Murphy, who is running against Allen West in Florida. This was interesting, since I am in Washington State, and have a phone paid for by my company in Oregon. I decided to listen to the town hall, and see what it had to do with me.
There is a large surge going on in the area, with Allen West adding another $1m into the race, and there is polling showing that this race is now a tie. Generic polling is showing a 4% advantage in the district for the generic Democrat over the generic Republican. Also noted that Allen West (incumbent), has never topped 50% in the polls - not generally a good sign.
Absentee ballot analysis by DCCC, cross correlated with polls of those that have already voted indicates that the campaign is going to pull off a close but definitive win.
Financial Analysis - Patrick's fundraising by end of race will be about $4m. Allen West's fundraising and spending from all sources is about 4 to 1 (so about $16m), so being tied is very good. Donations would be good, though, so additional last minute advertising could be purchased. Have a new ad, and needs funds to get TV time.
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Funds can be donated at www.PatrickMurphy2012.com/contribute
I donated - will you?
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They are planning on 40k door knocks in the last 4 days before the election (I am sure volunteers would be appreciated - L.V.) 80,000 phone contacts still underway.
I am going to continue listening to the call. This is just a heads up on the call, and the need to fund raise and GOTV in this important Florida district.
I have to get back to work now, and won't be back for some hours. Please help get rid of Allen West, and elect Patrick Murphy.