One of the best things about Dkos is that through it I have made contact with some really great activists. One of them, Susan S, who has been here for 10 years but is actually to busy to write here, sent me the following note today:
Check out the numbers in this attachment. It's amazing! We're also killing them in Vote by Mail in Hillsborough. Orange is performing like we are, so not sure where the polling data for the I-4 corridor is coming from. We're beating them in New Tampa!!!
I will get to the numbers in a second, but it is important to understand that the I-4 Corridor is where about 30% of the votes in Florida are cast, and it is also where elections are decided. Obama won Hillsborough narrowly in 2012 (by 7), which is Tampa. Orange County, which she also refers, is Orlando.
The last sentence in her e-mail may be the best news I have read this cycle. New Tampa is the ultimate exurb: White, Upper Middle Class and GOP leaning. New Tampa was ground zero for the Tea Party Revolt here. The fact we are beating them there is earth shattering news.
The last three polls in Florida are -1, +1 and tied. I will be honest - I was pretty down about Florida before those numbers. But Romney will be here on Thursday - and what does that tell you?
Florida is in play - and the news from an activist that I trust tells me we are outperforming the polling being done here.
Early days yet - but reason for optimism here.
Please Volunteer!! Please make Phone Calls!!!
Here is a screen capture from part of the document. Left Column is Democrats, next is repug, the nextis independents.