The important takeaway from this is the President's job approval rating. Incumbent Presidents with approval over 50% are usually in pretty good shape for re-election. Correct me if I'm wrong but I believe Bush was at 49% in '04. I wouldn't be shocked to see Raz's final tracker with the President leading 50-49. Of course, we take this with a grain of salt considering the source but this is still an indication of momentum for our side nonetheless.
Raz Daily Tracker