The US Territory of Guam conducts a presidential straw poll as part of its ordinary election process. This poll correctly predicted the subsequent US Presidential winner every election since 1984.
2012 Results:
Obama - 23,067 (73.2%)
Romney - 8,443 (26.8%)
Note that the President did better this year than back in 2008. What does that suggest about election night returns here on the mainland?
2008 Results:
Obama - 20,119 (62.7%)
McCain - 11,941 (37.3%)
2012 results
2008 results