Some more good news out of Pennsylvania courtesy of FiveThirtyEight:
Much like their presidential forecast, FiveThirtyEight measures the chances of each Senate candidate under a polls-only model, a polls-plus model and their “now-cast”. The first concerns only polls, the second considers other outside factors and the third is what would happen if the election was today.
The polls-plus model gives McGinty a 56% chance of victory and projects the vote share to be 48.8% to 48.0%.
The polls-only model gives McGinty a 59.3% chance of victory and projects the vote share to be 49.1% to 47.6%.
The now-cast gives McGinty a 56.7% chance of victory and projects the vote share to be 48.8% to 47.9%.
Lets keep up the momentum. Click here to donate and get involved with McGinty’s campaign.