On behalf of WXIA-TV, SurveyUSA takes a look at the June 20 general for Georgia’s 6th Congressional District, and they give Democrat Jon Ossoff an eye-popping 51-44 lead over Republican Karen Handel. We always advise readers to be cautious when presented with a surprising poll, and this time is no different. We’ll certainly see more polls over the next few weeks, and they’ll give us a better feel for whether Ossoff really has opened a clear lead, or if this contest remains as tight as its looked for weeks.
We’ve only seen a few polls since the April primary, and even Democrats haven’t been acting like Ossoff is that far ahead. In early May, both the Ossoff campaign and the Democratic group House Majority PAC released polls giving Ossoff a 1 or 2 point edge. The local Republican pollster Landmark Communications, polling on behalf of local news station WSB-TV, gave Handel a 49-47 lead a little while later.
A lot has certainly happened since Landmark’s poll was finished on May 4, including the House’s vote for Trumpcare, Trump firing FBI director James Comey, and numerous revelations about Trump and Russia. According to the HuffPost Pollster average, Trump’s already-weak numbers have taken a hit since then as well: On May 4, Trump posted a 43-52 disapproval rating, while on Tuesday, he was at 40-56. If Trump has seen anything like that kind of collapse in this suburban Atlanta seat, then it’s very plausible that Ossoff’s position has improved in the last few weeks. However, it’s far too early to know, and with both parties spending heavily here with a month to go, this seat remains very much a battleground.
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