An Indy Politics statewide scientific poll of 600 likely Hoosier voters shows Republican U.S. Senate candidate Mike Braun entering the final stretch of the contest with a four-point lead over Democrat incumbent Joe Donnelly.
The poll, conducted by Mason Strategies with a margin of 3.9 percent, showed Braun leading Donnelly 47-43, Libertarian Lucy Brenton had three percent of the vote and seven percent were undecided.
Because of the margin of error and numbers of undecided voters, Stephen Spiker of Mason Strategies said despite the four-point difference, the race is basically a tie.
“When applying the margin of error to each candidate’s vote share, the race is statistically tied. However, two weeks before the election you’d rather be Mike Braun than Joe Donnelly with these numbers,” Spiker said.
The poll also indicated that Donnelly’s vote against Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court might be having some impact, albeit not as much as Republicans might have hoped. Thirty percent of likely voters said they more likely to vote for Donnelly because of his vote against Kavanaugh while only 35 percent said they were less likely. And 32 percent of likely voters said Donnelly’s vote did not matter.
We all need to help Joe Donnelly. Without this seat it will be very difficult to win back the Senate: joeforindiana.com