After tightening through January, the generic ballot has bounced back in Democrats' direction in recent polling, with Monday's CNN poll finding a 16-point advantage for Democrats.
The poll finds 54% of registered voters say they back a Democrat in their congressional district, 38% say they back a Republican. That's a shift in favor of the Democrats since January, bringing their advantage in a hypothetical generic matchup to about the same level as early 2006, a year in which the party won control of both the House and the Senate.
This also mirrors their advantage on the question last fall, before a January full of good economic news brought a shift toward more positive numbers for both President Donald Trump and his party. The same poll also found Trump's approval rating declining -- a metric that's frequently closely tied to his party's performance in a midterm election year.
In fact, Trump is proving key to the generic ballot equation and CNN polling put his approval ratings back to his all-time low of 35 percent.
While the CNN polling is downright juicy for Democrats, it also follows a trend over the past week.
The 538 puts the spread back at nearly 10 percent in favor of Democrats, closer to where they finished out 2017.
If you want to help move the needle further in Democrats’ direction, please give $5 to our slate of Daily Kos-endorsed candidates.