With growing support from women, Democrats poised for major gains in midterm, new poll shows
Lots of good data in here for Ds. This is a likely voter poll of the upcoming election. Few highlights:
If the election were held today, by a 14% margin, 55-41, respondents stated they favored Democrats.
45’s approval rating is 39%, with 57% disapproving. It’s hard to understate how horrific that number is for team red, especially given that the economy is doing pretty well, at least on the macro level. 49% strongly disapprove, while only 24% strongly approve.
More from the article:
Especially notable are the views of women, whose preferences have expanded the Democratic edge since a USC Dornsife poll surveyed most of the same voters this summer.
In the summer, men were closely divided between the two parties; they remain so now. But women, who already leaned significantly toward the Democrats, have shifted further in their direction, widening a large gender gap. The poll found women now favor the Democrats by 28 percentage points, 62% to 34%, among likely voters.
Suburban women now favor D’s by a wide margin of 61-35%!
Of note:
The poll was largely completed before accusations of sexual misconduct against Judge Brent Kavanaugh, Trump’s nominee to the Supreme Court, began dominating the news. Many political professionals in both parties think that controversy could further alienate women from the GOP.
Here’s one more huge piece of good news for D’s, especially given recent data that was looking at likely turnout in age groups, showing young folks still lagging and older folks still very likely to head to the polls:
Especially striking: Democrats have also made significant gains among older voters, a bastion for Republicans over the last two decades. Among likely voters 65 and older, Democrats lead 51% to 45%.
😮
Anyway, go check the article for more information, it’s chock-full of good tidbits. It had a good sample size, as well, over 5,000 people, and over 2,500 of those thought to be likely voters.
plug for my state of Ohio, where a poll out today showed the governor race tied 47-47:
Rich Cordray for Ohio