Russia seized Crimea from Ukraine and occupied its Donbass region, where Ukraine's main fossil fuel resources lie. Putin messes with Ukraine in all sorts of ways, and with EU energy supplies. Ukraine has turned to renewables for future growth. See Rachel Maddow's Blowout for some of the gory [sic] details, including siccing Russian oligarchs and the Russian Mafia on Ukraine.
Cisolar 2020: Ukraine may join the Top15 of the world’s most advanced countries in terms of solar power in 2020
The main regional business event in the field of solar energy devoted to the latest technology, trends, and investment opportunities – Cisolar 2020, the 9th International Solar Energy Conference and Trade Show of Central and Eastern Europe – will take place in Kyiv on July, 15-17.
Maybe. Could happen, if we all get our act together. Or maybe not.
Solar power continues to occupy a leading position in terms of installed capacity among all renewable energy sources globally and in Ukraine in particular. From 2019 to 2024, renewable energy is projected to increase globally by 50% thanks to solar power, as the PV segment alone accounts for nearly 60% of the expected growth. In Ukraine, solar power capacity has increased more than 7 times in the past 3 years. Thus, as of December 1, 2019, the total capacity of all Ukrainian solar power facilities exceeded 3.8 GW.
In Ukraine, the sector of household [rooftop] solar power stations continues to grow rapidly. As of October 1, 2019, there were more than 15,000 households in Ukraine with total installed capacity exceeding 350 MW.
History of Photovoltaic Deployment
Year |
Σ Installed
(MWp) |
Δ Installed
(MWp) |
Generation
(GWh) |
Refs |
2010 |
3 |
3 |
n.a. |
|
2011 |
196 |
193 |
n.a. |
[8] |
2012 |
326 |
130 |
n.a. |
[9] |
2013 |
616 |
290 |
563 |
[9] |
2014 |
411 |
71 |
485 |
|
2015 |
432 |
20 |
475 |
|
2016 |
568 |
99 |
492 |
|
2017 |
742 |
245 |
715 |
[10][11] |
2018 |
1,388 |
716 |
1,101 |
[12][13] |
2019 |
4925 |
3537 |
2,412 |
[14][15] |
The Solutions Project: 100% Ukraine
Residential rooftop solar |
13.0% |
Solar plants |
15.2% |
Concentrating solar plants |
0.0% |
Onshore wind |
42.4% |
Offshore wind |
15.2% |
|
8.4% |
Wave devices |
0.0% |
Geothermal |
0.0% |
Hydroelectric |
5.7% |
Tidal turbines |
0.0% |
40-Year Jobs Created
Number of jobs where a person is employed for 40 consecutive years.
Construction jobs: 96,407
Operation jobs: 95,522
Health cost savings per year: $164B
17.03% of country GDP
Lives lost to air pollution that we could save each year:
26,830
Energy, health, and climate �cost savings per person:
$9,895
Ukraine solar industry poised between optimism and fears of FIT [Feed-In Tariff] renegotiation — PV Magazine
Oct 18, 2019 - Ukrainian energy market reforms are continuing and amid uncertainty about future auction mechanisms and prices, attendees at the SEF Kyiv [sustainable energy forum] again called out the government for dragging its heels on the legislation. However, there was also evident optimism at the show.
Renewables capacity procurement auctions will start next year and be held twice annually. The system will be overseen by new government agency “Guaranteed Buyer”, which will also buy the energy generated, through PPAs. Konstyantyn Petrykovets, director of the agency, used his time on stage to present a 100%-performance-on-payment due diligence exercise to assure international investors. Since its inception this year, the agency has already signed 468 PPAs related to project generation capacity of 1.9 GW.
Rumors abounded during the conference of possible retroactive cuts to FIT payments. The effect could be hard felt as the outlook of ending FITs prompted a Vietnam-like solar gold rush to take advantage of the soon-to-expire fixed incentive. Last year, Ukraine had 1 GW of solar generation capacity. This year it could approach 3 GW, according to Hamlet Tunyan, CEO of module maker Recom and his counterpart at Ukrainian rival Kness, Sergiy Shakalov.
Ukraine – pv magazine International
Photovoltaic Markets and Technology.
Ukraine Solar Photovoltaic (PV) Power Market Outlook, 2018-2027
A 64 Megawatt Solar Power Plant Has Been Commissioned in Ukraine.
Cumulative installed PV capacity in the country was only 3 MWp in 2010, but grew up to 140 MWp in 2011 and exceeded 831 MWp at the end of 2015, making Ukraine one of the fastest growing photovoltaic markets in the region. The report provides a complete picture of the market situation, dynamics, current issues and future prospects. You will find more than 120 pages of valuable information in this unique in-depth analysis of the Ukrainian photovoltaic market.
Ukraine – Solar Power Market Outlook, 2018-2022 – Eurasian Network
The Ukrainian solar power industry is booming. Over the past five years, 2,169 MW of new renewable energy capacities have been built in Ukraine, for a global investment worth around EUR 2 billion. Moreover, Ukraine works on the integration of its energy system into the European energy space.
During the first quarter of 2019 a total of 862 MW of new renewable energy capacities was added in the country, which is more than whole previous year, when 848 MW were installed. Solar PV capacities amounted to 684 MW in this volume of 862 MW.
The solar PV capacities will continue growing in the coming years as Ukraine set the official target of 25% of renewable energy share by 2035 and provide attractive conditions to investors and energy companies.
Ukraine Solar Power Market | Industry Analysis | Growth … — Mordor Intelligence
Unclear on the concept, I would say. Ah, well-a-day.
THE NAME MORDOR
Are we inspired by Tolkien’s universe? Yes, we are. We are also not evil.
Like the Great Eye in the Lord Of The Rings universe, Mordor Intelligence also strives to see it all—the past, the present, and the future.
With our deep market insights and vigilance, a vast global network of experts, and rigorous methodology for collecting and interpreting data, we serve as the all-seeing eye for our clients who rely on our insights to make critical business decisions.
OK, putting that aside,
Ukraine is one of the world's fastest growing energy markets in the world. The cost of solar power has come down in recent years, majorly due to initiatives taken on an international level by governments and private organizations to promote research and development in this field. This cost reduction has made solar technology, especially solar PV technology, more accessible. The growing demand for electricity is another major factor driving the growth of the market. Concerns regarding the high carbon footprint of conventional power plants are also expected to aid in increasing the demand for solar power plants to meet the growing power demand. Furthermore, favourable government regulations and private partnerships, downstream innovation and expansion, and various incentive schemes for the use of renewable energy for power generation, are also driving the solar power market at an exponential rate.
Yes, well we knew all of that. We were hoping that you would share a few, you know, numbers.
Ukraine - Scatec Solar
The Ukrainian government has committed to increase renewables from around 4 per cent of the energy mix today, to 25 per cent by 2035.
Much of this growth and pipeline, particularly in wind and solar, has been fuelled by a rush to secure the Green Tariff, which will be replaced by an auction-based regime from 2020. Introduced in 2008, the Green Tariff provides highly attractive and guaranteed Euro-denominated rates until the end of 2029.
Passing of Ukraine’s Auction Law for alternative energy sources in April 2019 follows a well-trodden path. Use of auctions to manage supply to a national grid has become commonplace in recent years.
According to research by the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) the number of countries that have adopted renewable energy auctions increased from six in 2005 to more than 67 by early 2017, and continues to rise.Although the auction regime will undoubtedly lower returns on investment, compared to those offered by the Green Tariff, any reductions should be manageable, subject to the capacity offered at each auction, as advances in technology continue to reduce generating costs.
Lowering corporate profits to the benefit of the public is the main purpose of a free, competitive market in real economics. Increasing corporate profits to the detriment of the public is the main purpose of Denialist corporate-funded Junk Economics.
Ukrainian solar braces for policy spat as major project goes live — PV Tech
The past recent weeks have brought mixed blessings to Ukraine’s solar ecosystem, with a row over policy changes breaking out only hours after the launch of the country’s largest PV plant to date.
That's the 240MW Pokrovska plant in Nikopol, in the Dnipropetrovsk region, to the southeast of Kyiv.
Clean energy association UARE slammed the government late last week over what it described as “threats” to retroactively review investment guarantees to renewable projects, via a draft law recently approved by Ukrainian MPs.
The so-called Draft Law 2236-2 – which limits compensation to 150MW-plus renewable projects when the grid operator decides to curtail generation – not only “violates” Ukraine’s domestic legislation but also its global pledges under the Energy Charter Treaty (ECT) and other agreements, UARE said.
Solar Energy Association not in favor of idea to restructure feed-in tariffs for solar power plants — Interfax
They say that the cuts are too big and won't work as intended, and will mess up the Ukrainian economy.
"The problem should not be solved by patching holes. We need to look more broadly. The only right solution is to establish a free market," he [KNESS Group Business Development Director Yevhen Didichenko] said and recalled that in particular, it is about lifting price restrictions.
Renewables are profitable. In that situation, the remnants of the command economy just get in the way.
Ukraine’s government slammed for proposed changes to green energy rules
Foreign investors are up in arms following the release of the Ukrainian government’s proposed changes to the generous green energy tariffs introduced by former president Petro Poroshenko.
Renewable energy investment has been booming in Ukraine as more than $3.7bn poured into the sector in 2019 creating 4,500 MW of capacity, according to the State Energy Efficiency Agency, after the government introduced generous tariffs to encourage the diversification of Ukraine’s power energy sources in an effort to wean itself off Russian gas imports.
Through to November of last year the renewable share of Ukraine’s electricity production more than doubled, growing from 1.7% to 4.1%. Over the same period, the share of electricity produced by thermal power plants decreased from 38% in November 2018, to 32.0% in November 2019, reports the Energy and Environment Ministry.
Foreign investors in wind and solar warn that Ukraine risks international arbitration and a souring of foreign investors on Ukraine if the government carries through on a proposal to retroactively slash green tariffs, makes plant commissioning dependent on government hookup to the grid, and imposes half-year long blackout periods on purchases of power from renewable plants, reports UBN.
One Western solar investor told UBN the government’s proposed 25% cut in solar feed-in tariff coupled with the 200-day black out period could cut his revenues by 40%.
Economists agree that the subsidies were too high.
2018 Ukraine Solar Power Market Outlook to 2025 - Planned Power Plants, Emerging Trends, Infrastructure, Investments, New Strategies and Competition
$2200. Never mind.