Many or most politicians and commentators are basing their understanding of the virus trajectory on the IMHE models. There are many models out there, but for whatever reason, the IMHE model is the most widely relied upon.
Now, in many states, the IMHE model is predicting that the hospitalizations and deaths have peaked, and things should start getting a lot better. So this appears to be a critical week in terms of testing the model performance.
In the next week or so, we will see whether IMHE is correct. Are curves finally flattening and heading down, or are some states still going to see exponential increases?