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The recurring deadly droughts in the Horn of Africa are being made more severe by man-made Climate Change. That in turn is driving societal turmoil and a weakening of the Governments so hard hit by the drought. This is unraveling process has already effectively destroyed the national government of Somalia.

A new study establishes a link between an increased incidence of internal conflicts to the areas of the globe most affected by El Niños made increasingly severe by Climate Change.  


Study proves climate a trigger for conflict

Thursday, 25 August 2011

It says tropical countries affected by the notorious El Niño weather event are twice as likely to be hit by internal unrest compared to the phenomenon's cooler, wetter counterpart, La Niña.

The civil war and famine gripping the Horn of Africa is a typical example of what happens when a climate swing causes drought and over-stresses an already fragile society, say its authors.

The inquiry, appearing in the journal Nature, focuses on a naturally occurring pattern of climate change.

But its authors say there is a disturbing lesson about violence driven by human-induced warming, which is expected to bite deep in coming decades.

This study calls to mind another study about Climate Change by the Pentagon that came out two years ago.

Climate Change Seen as Threat to U.S. Security

Published: August 8, 2009

WASHINGTON — The changing global climate will pose profound strategic challenges to the United States in coming decades, raising the prospect of military intervention to deal with the effects of violent storms, drought, mass migration and pandemics, military and intelligence analysts say.

Such climate-induced crises could topple governments, feed terrorist movements or destabilize entire regions, say the analysts, experts at the Pentagon and intelligence agencies who for the first time are taking a serious look at the national security implications of climate change.

Although military and intelligence planners have been aware of the challenge posed by climate changes for some years, the Obama administration has made it a central policy focus.

It concluded that climate change by itself would have significant geopolitical impacts around the world and would contribute to a host of problems, including poverty, environmental degradation and the weakening of national governments.

The assessment warned that the storms, droughts and food shortages that might result from a warming planet in coming decades would create numerous relief emergencies.

The Pentagon has to take Climate Change seriously even while the Republican Party remains in a state of near complete denial to cater to some of the GOP's biggest corporate sponsors Big Oil and Big Coal. Their marketers have transformed burning lots of gas into some sort of cultural birthright for Americans.

                                          Only in America!

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Comment Preferences

  •  Ready of not the climate already is changing (17+ / 0-)

    Plutocracy too long tolerated leaves democracy on the auction block, subject to the highest bidder ~ BILL MOYERS

    by Lefty Coaster on Thu Aug 25, 2011 at 02:19:40 AM PDT

    •  That's the problem, the REAL world has to deal... (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      capelza, Lefty Coaster, dewley notid

      with the debilitating consequences of an obstructionist political party that refuses to take responsibility for anything other than pleasuring their corporate benefactors.

      The Pentagon has to take Climate Change seriously even while the Republican Party remains in a state of near complete denial to cater to some of the GOP's biggest corporate sponsors Big Oil and Big Coal.

      If we only had a two-party system in this country wherein one party could hold the other party accountable for their dirty deeds.

      Someday, perhaps.

  •  These studies don't seem too compelling. (0+ / 0-)

    If we rely on them to stem climate change, we won't get very far.  The case against climate change is that it's the Earth's fucking climate and we don't have the right to change it out of greed and laziness.  Quite apart from the dubious nature of these studies (the Horn of Africa was full of conflict in the 1970s, after all), the political reality is that nobody in the carbon-emitting countries gives a shit about those people in the most vulnerable parts of the world, so an appeal based on their welfare is a certain loser.

    Let us resolutely study and implement the resolutions of the 46th Convention of the Democratic Party!

    by Rich in PA on Thu Aug 25, 2011 at 05:26:32 AM PDT

    •  Maybe.... (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      dewley notid

      but the military and security institutions will take notice and will increasingly seize power--that includes our military. More unrest and trouble the more cops and soldiers will be needed--they (not the common soldiers) are happy with this situation even if they don't admit it.

  •  It's sad and troubling but we have to face facts (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Lefty Coaster, dewley notid

    We live in a culture and society that is clinically insane. We are unable, as a culture, to solve our problems. We are stuck in our addictions and nothing other than a major disaster will cause us to even have a chance at dealing with our major issues including climate-change.

    The ongoing environmental crisis is not being addressed at all anyomore. We're all ignoring it except a few people like Bill McKibben. All other issues whether it is gay marriage, abortion, immigration, economic justice are all trivial compared to the environment we all share with other people, plants and animals. How we can ignore it I find shocking every single day. All political and cultural analysis needs to start from this sad fact.

    It isn't just the issue itself but what it symbolizes--a drift into fantasy and unreality. I'm guilty of it too, btw. I drag my feet and do not address this issue because I am distracted by all the things I can do, see and feel--and all the other interesting things to look at.

    I will add to what I said above--we are insane as a culture but we have to realize that we are individually insane as well. We are less so when we realize our plight. I will search for some healing.

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