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Leading Off:

NJ-02: It's really starting to feel like the Republican implosion over the federal government shutdown has yielded some serious dividends for House Democrats on multiple recruiting fronts. The party's newest candidate comes in New Jersey's 2nd Congressional District, where longtime GOP Rep. Frank LoBiondo has pretty much never faced a serious challenge despite sitting in what is now a 54-45 Obama seat. But that may finally change this cycle, as attorney Bill Hughes, Jr., the son of former Rep. Bill Hughes, just launched a bid to unseat the incumbent.

Hughes will certainly have a tough race on his hands, and he may also face a primary, as state Sen. Jeff Van Drew hasn't ruled out a run himself. However, Van Drew is up for re-election next month and definitely won't announce any plans until after Election Day. But either way, if Democrats can put this unexpected seat in play next year, then that speaks positively of the party's chances for real gains nationwide.

Senate:

SC-Sen-A: George W. Bush has been very quiet, politically speaking, since leaving office—his selfie painting in the tub was probably the biggest splash he's made since 2008. But he may be taking his first steps back into the arena, since he just donated $5,000 to Sen. Lindsey Graham's re-election effort.

It'll be interesting to see how the contribution plays in the GOP primary, where Graham is facing some tea party challengers. Graham looks like he's embracing it, since he issued a statement thanking Bush for the donation (and I'd guess this whole thing was probably arranged at a high level). But is Dubya viewed so fondly by the base that his support could help shore up Graham's right flank? It wouldn't surprise me if so, which means we could see a lot more of Bush in the near future.

Gubernatorial:

KS-Gov: Two pollsters have asked Kansans how they feel about Gov. Sam Brownback and the consensus is he blows a lot. Fort Hays State University finds only 35 percent of respondents expressing some satisfaction with the governor with 42 expressing at least moderate dissatisfaction and 24 percent neutral.

SurveyUSA also gives us their take on Brownback's (lack of) popularity. They find him with a 34 approval rating, with a horrifying 59 percent disapproving. With President Obama also far underwater at 38 percent approval, it's hard to argue this poll is too favorable towards Democrats. Kansas' dark red nature still makes Brownback the favorite for reelection against Democratic state Rep. Paul Davis, but if he is anywhere near this unpopular a year from now he may just have what it takes to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. (Darth Jeff)

MD-Gov: Is Doug Gansler kidding? Let me get this straight: He shows up at a house party where a throng of high school seniors are getting trashed—supposedly to see his son—snaps a few photos, gets caught on film himself, and then says he had no obligation to put a stop to things? The guy is Maryland's attorney general. He doesn't get to enforce a double standard like this:

"Assume for purposes of discussion that there was widespread drinking at this party," Gansler said. "How is that relevant to me? … The question is, do I have any moral authority over other people's children at beach week in another state? I say no."
Everyone else says yes. (And come on. If it had been in Maryland instead of Delaware, that would have changed the calculus?) Indeed, Gansler helped to arrange this party and promulgate special "rules" about what these kids could and could not drink. (Hard liquor, no. Beer... unmentioned.) As Adam Bonin put it, if Gansler wants to publicly criticize underage drinking laws, he can do that. But he can't help teens do something illegal and try to absolve himself of responsibility as though he's "just another dad." He's not. He's the state's top law enforcement official.

Later on Thursday, Gansler held a disastrous press conference in which he admitted he made a "mistake", but holding the presser in the first place was a mistake in and of itself. My favorite gem:

When asked whether clearly visible red cups should have been a tipoff that drinking was going on, Gansler replied, "There could be Kool-Aid in the red cups, but there's probably beer in the red cups. I didn't go over and stick my nose in the cups and see, and maybe I should have."
I definitely think it was Kool-Aid. Ohhhhhhhhhh yeah.

MI-Gov: Wow. You just need to read this exchange between GOP Gov. Rick Snyder and reporters on Snyder's views as to whether it's acceptable for employers to fire workers because they're gay. Unreal.

RI-Gov: Providence Mayor Angel Taveras, who has unofficially been gearing up for a gubernatorial bid for what seems like forever, will finally launch his campaign on Monday. Despite the lengthy delay, this will actually make Taveras the first prominent candidate in the Democratic primary, since state Treasurer Gina Raimondo still hasn't announced her long-expected candidacy either. Department of Education official Clay Pell, a grandson of the late Sen. Claiborne Pell, is also considering the race.

VA-Gov: Thursday morning brought us two fresh polls in the Virginia gubernatorial election, one from this planet, and one presumably from ... elsewhere.

Old Dominion University chimes in with some new numbers, and their numbers are a decent reflection of where the polling community is in this race. ODU sees Democrat Terry McAuliffe at 44 percent, with Republican Ken Cuccinelli at 37, and Libertarian Robert Sarvis at 7. In a sign of why Cooch is so doomed, ODU looked at the candidates' policy positions on over 20 issues. They found that voters side with McAuliffe's view on policy sixteen times, while they only side with Cuccinelli on five issues, which is actually fewer than side with Sarvis (seven times).

Meanwhile, a new poll from Wenzel Strategies, on behalf of the conservative PAC known as "Ending Spending," has McAuliffe leading Cuccinelli by a single point (41-40), with Sarvis getting a rather outsized 10 percent of the vote. For those who vaguely recall the name Wenzel Strategies, this brutal tweet-fueled takedown of the pollster by Steve Shepard serves as a solid reminder.

They manage to undercut their own credibility here a bit, too, by declaring in the polling memo that they recalibrated their poll using Quinnipiac's partisan breakdown, and still saw a "smaller lead" for T-Mac in their numbers than the Q poll had (from 7 points down to 5). What better way to show readers that you are confident in your turnout model than to immediately recalculate your poll using someone else's model.

That turnout model, by the way, had nearly half of the electorate as independent voters. For those scoring at home, Indies made up 29 percent of the electorate last year, and 30 percent back in 2009. That would explain the relative narrowing for Cuccinelli, but would also explain the double-digit performance for Sarvis, as well.

Meanwhile, an unlikely ally has popped up to boost Sarvis's chances. A new group called Purple PAC (called that because they prefer candidates who are "red" on economic policy and "blue" on social policy) will be running ads on Sarvis's behalf.

Considering the buy will be "six figures" (meaning even if it's only exactly $100,000, that's still more than Sarvis has raised himself so far), that's a big deal for Sarvis. Obviously it won't be enough to turn him into a contender, but it might be enough to ensure he actually continues in the mid-to-high single digits instead of the usual third-party last-minute dwindle. (Steve Singiser & David Jarman)

WI-Gov: EMILY's List just announced they're supporting Madison school board member Mary Burke in her bid to unseat GOP Gov. Scott Walker in Wisconsin. Along with Russ Feingold's Progressives United, that's Burke's second notable endorsement this week.

House:

FL-02, MN-02: The House Majority PAC has released two new post-shutdown polls from PPP, but unlike MoveOn's enormous batch of polling, this time we have matchups between actual named candidates on both sides. And as you'd expect, since a Democratic super PAC is publicizing the results, the numbers look positive for the blue team.

In Florida's 2nd, local school official Gwen Graham is beating GOP Rep. Steve Southerland 44-41. That's an excellent place to start for Graham, and a very dicey one for Southerland, who sports an underwater 36-42 job approval rating. Note, though, that the question actually mentioned that Graham is the daughter of "former Governor Bob Graham" (who also served as senator), so that might have juiced things a bit in her favor.

Thanks to that pedigree, Graham is an unusually strong challenger, but it's also worth noting that Dems have a 47-43 on a straight-up generic ballot. That happens to be identical to the generic Dem vs. Southerland margin in MoveOn's poll. HMP's survey also wound up with a redder sample at 49 percent Dem and 40 percent GOP, versus 51-34 for MoveOn. (Voter registration statistics in this Dixiecrat-heavy seat are 52 D, 33 R, and 13 I.)

The other poll is of Minnesota's 2nd District, which MoveOn didn't test. There, state Rep. Mike Obermueller leads Republican Rep. John Kline 42-38, who fares even worse than Southerland with a 32-42 approval score. Democrats also have a wide 46-36 lead on the generic ballot. Those are very pessimistic numbers for Kline, who beat Obermueller 54-45 last year. But the sample's partisan breakdown seems plausible in this swingy district, at 31 D, 27 R, and 42 I. (Minnesota doesn't register voters by party.)

FL-02 and MN-02 are both the kind of seats Democrats need to win in order to have a shot at taking back the House, and at least for now, the party is in the right place.

IA-01: State Rep. Anesa Kajtazovic seems to occupy the "young progressive" space in the crowded Dem primary in the open 1st, though her $37,000 third quarter haul doesn't suggest she's near the head of the pack right now. She's pulled in a few endorsements, though, that might help her gain some more attention: most notably, from the United Food and Commercial Workers. The two locals backing her represent over 2,500 workers in the district. Another one is from former pro football player Tim Dwight (I had to look him up, but apparently he's a big deal in eastern Iowa). (David Jarman)

MI-11: Democrats finally have a candidate in Michigan's 11th District, though it's not the person you may be expecting. Former State Department official Bobby McKenzie announced a bid on Thursday, though he's someone we hadn't heard of previously. The bigger name still considering is Wayne State law school dean Jocelyn Benson, who unsuccessfully ran for secretary of state in 2010. The current GOP incumbent is tea partier Kerry Bentivolio, but he's facing a well-funded primary challenge from foreclosure attorney David Trott.

OH-08: Any discussion of John Boehner's 8th District should begin and end with the fact that not only did the CD give Barack Obama 36 percent of the vote in 2012, but that west central Ohio is one of the most "ancestrally Republican" places in the country. But it's worth noting that Boehner is getting a Democratic challenger who's, if nothing else, more well-connected than the nobodies he usually draws: Tom Poetter, a professor at Miami University and the former director of the university's community outreach office. (David Jarman)

TX-23: The conservative Hispanic Leadership Fund, a PAC that was only a bit-part player in 2012, suddenly seems to have a lot of money at its disposal, and they're spending $200,000 on a TV ad buy on Spanish-language media in the sprawling 23rd. The ad hits Dem Rep. Pete Gallego over Obamacare costs. (David Jarman)

WI-01: Businessman Rob Zerban, who lost to GOP Rep. Paul Ryan last year 55-43, just announced that he'll try to unseat Ryan again.

Other Races:

Boston Mayor: MassINC's first general election poll of this contest gives us our closest race yet, with City Councilor John Connolly leading state Rep. Marty Walsh only 41 to 39 percent. This poll comes a week after a Sage Systems survey also showed a small Connolly lead, with the Councilor up by 4 points.

Another pollster is also offering their first general election survey of the race. The University of New Hampshire offers some dramatically different numbers than MassINC's, showing Connolly up 47 to 38. Outside of a Connolly internal from early October, this is his largest general election lead to date.

But it's still a bit too early to determine whether or not Connolly has lost most of the edge he appeared to have at the beginning of the general election. Suffolk and UMass Lowell each showed Connolly up by 7 and 8 points respectively earlier this month, but they have yet to release a follow-up poll. As a result, we can't tell whether or not Walsh has really cut into Connolly's lead or whether his apparent momentum is only due to differences in the four pollsters' survey methods. The good news is that with less than two weeks to go before the election, it's a good bet we'll soon have a better idea of whether things have changed in Walsh's favor. (Darth Jeff)

FL State House: Part of the job description for any party leader is to spin away disappointments, but at the very least, the spin has to be minimally credible. Case in point: Florida Republican party chair Lenny Curry, who had to explain the Democratic pickup of HD-36 in a special election last week, and did so by saying the "demographics" of the district made it hard to win there.

HD-36, the coastal part of Pasco County in Tampa's exurbs, is significantly whiter than Florida as a whole, and, maybe most importantly, is a retirement destination; it's one of the oldest places in the entire country. It isn't highly-educated, and it's downscale without being impoverished. In short, it's any Republican demographer's version of utopia.

Consider the district's most populous place, Bayonet Point, which is 88 percent non-Hispanic white, has 11 percent with bachelor's degree or higher, has a median household income of $32,000, and most importantly, is 31 percent 65+ (anything over 20 percent stands out as old). See also Hudson, which is 92 percent white and 34 percent 65+, or New Port Richey, which is 84 percent white and 27 percent 65+, according to the Census. (David Jarman)

Novoyork Autonomous Okrug Administrator: Comrades! The traitorous Mark Penn has been stricken from our central committees following years of insufficiently pure revolutionary thought. Nevertheless, Penn has his moments of being a useful idiot, so to speak, and he and collaborationists Schoen and Berland now join with our other fellow travelers in announcing that the glorious victory of Bill de Blasiovich will soon be in hand. His latest research, published in petit bourgeoisie agitprop instrument Newsday, finds de Blasiovich crushing the forces of tyrannical oligarch Joe Lhota, 64-23. (David Jarman)

WA State Senate: I'm not sure if this got the Washington GOP's attention just because it's something they can challenge on a technicality, or if they're truly afraid it's the finishing blow, but they've finally filed a complaint against Tom Steyer with the Public Disclosure Commission (the state's FEC equivalent), after the environmentalist billionaire contributed another three meeelion dollars, muuuuahahaha (yes, $3,000,000) to the NextGen PAC, which is playing heavily in the pivotal SD-26 special election. State law prohibits contributions of over $5,000 in the final 21 days of a campaign, but, of course, NextGen spends money on races all over the country and is registered in Washington as an ongoing committee, not tied to a specific campaign year. (David Jarman)

Grab Bag:

DCCC: The D-Trip has added three new candidates to their Jumpstart program, designed to give potential contenders an early boost. Two are recent recruits: former congressional staffer Amanda Renteria in CA-21 and Omaha City Councilman Pete Festersen in NE-02. The third has been running for a while, investor and activist Sean Eldridge in NY-19.

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Fri Oct 25, 2013 at 05:00 AM PDT.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Wenzel strayegies is a joke (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Alice Olson, ChadmanFL

    They exist to produce GOP propaganda. they had Todd Aiken competitive in Missouri and showed Sherrod Brown losing in every poll. I would say they have a 10 point GOP bias if they just don't downright make it up.
    They also showed Allen beating Kaine and Obama losing in almost every toss up state, I don't think anyone even uses them in aggregating polls.

  •  Even better moment from Gansler's presser bomb (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ChadmanFL, R30A, leevank, askew

    It was an answer that might have made Bill Clinton blush.

    He was asked about the photo appearing to show him snapping a pic of a girl twerking. His response was that he didn't think he knew yet hot to take photos with his new I-Phone. He went on to say that he know now how to take photos with it, but he didn't know at first and, probably, didn't know then.

    He saw the cups, but he didn't inhale.

    Coming Soon -- to an Internet connection near you: Armisticeproject.org

    by FischFry on Fri Oct 25, 2013 at 05:22:53 AM PDT

  •  Doubt Van Drew will take on Hughes (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    R30A, Christopher Walker, duhban

    If he ran, he'd want a clean shot at LoBiondo.  And he's probably waiting for a higher turnout election, like 2016, or for LoBiondo to retire.

    "When dealing with terrorism, civil and human rights are not applicable." Egyptian military spokesman.

    by Paleo on Fri Oct 25, 2013 at 05:28:21 AM PDT

  •  VA-Gov - Sarvis vote will hold up over 10% (5+ / 0-)

    Circumstances look optimal for Virginia Governor Libertarian candidate Sarvis, the third option to the Dem and GOP candidates, to remain in the game and have his vote percentage continue to hold up over 10% on election day.

    He has a few things going for him that third party candidates often do not have - reasonable level of free press that is balanced and not overtly negative towards his candidacy; a widespread dislike by many voters of BOTH of the two major party nominees; favorable comments, if not outright support, from national GOP talking head George Will (whose views get a lot of exposure via his Washington Post columns, widely read in the voter rich northern Virginia area) and now this 6-figure ad buy by Purple PAC.

    George Will in his WaPo column said Libertarian Sarvis would be a better choice for voters than Republican nominee Cucinelli.  We on this site do not give much weight to the ramblings of the aging conservative establishment Republican George Will, but I believe his support of Sarvis will provide a sufficient rationale for some GOP voters in northern Virginia to vote for Sarvis on November 5.  Any votes Sarvis gets from such establishment Republicans will wound GOP nominee Cucinelli and help our Dem nominee.

    For that reason, I believe Sarvis' vote total will hold up on election day at the 10% plus level and not flag as so many third party candidates tend to do in actual voting (as opposed to in pre-election polling).

    •  Sarvis - Will (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Sherri in TX, Neon Vincent, Odysseus

      Just to back you up: for Geo Will to back Sarvis in his column is a Big. Frackin'. Deal.

      Reading between the lines - one of the things Will is saying is that "The Cooch" doesn't have a chance, and therefore right wingers should send a message by voting for Sarvis.

      Any voter behavior of this sort, of course, seals the deal for McAuliffe.  Frankly, I think that Va conservative voters who would never vote D, and who also think that Cooch is too extreme, now have "permission" (i.e., now have a justifiable excuse) to throw their vote away and vote for Sarvis.

      I think this is a BFD.

  •  Arkansas (0+ / 0-)

    New Arkansas poll has Cotton +1 over Pryor, 37-36. Not good for an incumbent to be in the 30's I wouldn't think. Is this race probably a goner?

    •  No seat is a goner... (4+ / 0-)

      But I think this one is probably the one we should be the most worried about.  Hopefully the Clinton's can throw some weight behind Pryor...

      I think this will hinge on how opinions regarding the ACA improve over time.  If that "ammunition" is taken away from Cotton then I think we're in better shape - I think it also helps that Cotton opposed re-opening the Government.

    •  All Polls Should Be Taken W/ A Few Grains Of Salt (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Sherri in TX, dopper0189

      And all polls taken an entire year before an election should be taken with several tablespoons of salt.

      “I believe all Southern liberals come from the same starting point--race. Once you figure out they are lying to you about race, you start to question everything.” ― Molly Ivins

      by RoIn on Fri Oct 25, 2013 at 06:15:24 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  That was a sample of "very likely" voters (0+ / 0-)

      The whole poll is dubious. Now, Pryor is in trouble but he isn't below 40% as per even Republican polling.

      "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

      by conspiracy on Fri Oct 25, 2013 at 07:17:20 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Props for the phrase (0+ / 0-)

    petit bourgeoisie agitprop instrument Newsday.  I love reading these daily updates on elections around the nation, but the entire diary was worth reading just for that humorous piece of rhetoric. Thanks.

    "I was not born for myself alone, but for my neighbor as well as myself."--Richard Overton, leader of the Levellers, a17th C. movement for democracy and equality during the English Civil War.

    by SouthernLeveller on Fri Oct 25, 2013 at 06:21:31 AM PDT

  •  Kansas suicides (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ChadmanFL
    10/20/13.....505 Kansans who killed themselves in 2012 –
    a 30 percent increase in suicides from 2011, according to recently released data from the state.

    ....Nationwide, the number of deaths by suicide surpassed the number of deaths by motor vehicle in 2009, the most recent year for which the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention provided data.

    http://www.kansas.com/...

    "Tax cuts for the 1% create jobs." -- Republicans, HAHAHA - in China

    by MartyM on Fri Oct 25, 2013 at 06:21:41 AM PDT

  •  Does anyone else think (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ChadmanFL

    that Karl Rove and/or the Koch Brothers are feeding the Hispanic Leadership Fund?  Dirtbags.

    MI-8, 71, married, 7 children, 16 grandchildren, retired, independent but progressive

    by jimmich on Fri Oct 25, 2013 at 06:37:38 AM PDT

  •  Who Is the DNC Chair? (0+ / 0-)

    I guess it's Debbie Wasserman Schultz, though I never hear about her doing anything. The Vice Chair is still Donna Brazile, who helped 2010 Chair Tim Kaine lose badly (after leading Gore 2000 to lose, badly compared to the reasonably obtainable Gore margin).

    Is Wasserman Schultz some kind of behind the scenes mastermind? Because the last time I remember seeing Democrats retake the House by storm, that was Chair Howard Dean, who was everywhere during the time as well as in ever one of the 50 states.

    "When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro." - HST

    by DocGonzo on Fri Oct 25, 2013 at 06:37:49 AM PDT

    •  different time (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Aquarius40, Odysseus

      When Dean was chairman there were a lot more competitive seats. His 50 state strategy was working but with the gerrymander we have now it's not feasible anymore.  Maybe 50 republican seats at best can   be competitive the way things stand today but if we have a wave we can still get back the house.

      •  No Show (0+ / 0-)

        Oh, so that's why Wasserman Schultz isn't on TV explaining to Americans how her campaigns are going to save them from the terrible representation Republicans give them.

        Wait, that doesn't make sense as a reason.

        "When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro." - HST

        by DocGonzo on Fri Oct 25, 2013 at 11:18:49 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  More proof Democrats do it better (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Aquarius40, Gygaxian, Odysseus

    Story this morning on Rep. Paul Ruiz (D-CA??), who is in real life an ER physician, saving someone's life on his flight home from DC. Apparently Rep. Pete Gallego (D-TX) was on the same flight (DC-Dallas) and tweeted the news out.

  •  Here's a suggestion, David: (4+ / 0-)

    ...when we're talking about the impact of the government shutdown on next year's elections, one thing that's hard to know is exactly how many "golden opportunities" for Republicans have been lost by their shutdown antics.

    For instance, here in New York's 24th Congressional District, where incubment Democrat Dan Maffei is seeking reelection in a very competitive district, one of his strongest potential Republican opponents has decided to drop out since the shutdown. His name is Robert Antonacci.

    Is there a way of tracking not only how many great new Democratic recruits we may have to Republicans, but to track how many strong Republican candidates have decided to drop out?

    It sure would be interesting to see if this is just a spotty thing here or there, or if there's some kind of a national political narrative being written as we speak.

    We do know that at least two prominent Republicans decided to retire since the shutdown (C.W. Young, who subsequently passed away and a Rep. from Arkansas).
    How many people like Onondaga County Comptroller, a strong Republican vote-getter in NY-24 have, suddenly, soured on a Congrssional bid next year?

    •  NY-24 (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Odysseus, wdrath

      isn't all that competitive, or at least shouldn't be, having voted 56-42 Obama in 2008 and 57-41 in 2012.

      Maffei's paper-thin 2010 loss was something of a fluke (wave plus evident overconfidence), and his 2012 margin was substantial and would have been stronger without the Green Party candidate.  It would probably require a perfect storm for the GOP have a serious shot at retaking the seat; this existed in 2010 but isn't likely to now.  If he underperforms it's his own campaigning and/or voting record that doesn't inspire confidence.

      38, MD-8 (MD-6 after 2012) resident, NOVA raised, Euro/Anglophile Democrat

      by Mike in MD on Fri Oct 25, 2013 at 08:48:20 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  as a resident of NY-24, (0+ / 0-)

        let me say this: it is competitive. While it may not appear so on paper, this area has had a Republican representing us in Washington for most of the last thirty years. Dan Maffei is the first Democrat to represent us in a long time, and lost as a freshman in 2010 to a right-winger.

        While Maffei's paper thin loss was, in fact, somewhat of a fluke, as you said, the fact that a blatantly right-wing crackpot was able to upset him demonstrates that this is a competitive seat, especially when you take into account the fact that Maffei is not necessarily one of the most....charismatic...of politicians (he's much more cerebral...and off-putting to some).

        Republicans should be very competitive in 2014 and have a number of potential folks who could make it so.

  •  Howard Dean Said This Would Happen (4+ / 0-)

    A couple of days ago, talking about the Repub implosion, Gov Dean said that one outcome is top notch Dem candidates deciding 2014 is the time to run as opposed to waiting for 2016.    

  •  Be careful endorsing any NJ dems: besides the (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    erichiro

    comment here that the NJ dem party has a weak bench and a corrupt and crumbling party structure, bitterly true, too many NJ dems are snuggled up to Christie, Christiecrats one woman calls them, and they do his bidding, hand in glove.  At this point, I wouldn't trust almost any NJ dem.  I'm voting for Buono but she's been pretty much abandoned by the NJ dem party's regional and municipal powers.  They're Christie crazy.

    As an aside, Christie will take a shot at a presidential campaign; whether he resigns as gov isn't a given, IMO.  But if he does resign, Kim Guadagno will succeed and she may put paid to republican power in this state for a generation.

    “The road to success is always under construction” --Lily Tomlin

    by CarolinNJ on Fri Oct 25, 2013 at 07:55:23 AM PDT

  •  Lo Biondo has held the seat (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Odysseus

    since 1995, so the name Bill Hughes  no longer has much juice. Jeff Van Drew, who leans Blue Dog, does frighten the Repugs, ever since he ran an impossible dream race for Cape May County  freeholder board  & won by sticking it to the Repugs on local issues.

    "There ain't no sanity clause." Chico Marx

    by DJ Rix on Fri Oct 25, 2013 at 07:56:54 AM PDT

  •  Nice News About NJ-02 (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Odysseus

    Now can we please get someone recruited to run in NJ-07?

    Leonard Lance isn't exactly a colossus and could be felled with a decent Democratic candidate.

  •  MD-Gov (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    LordMike, Aquarius40, Odysseus

    Incredibly enough, "Partygate" and his laughably disastrous press conference about it haven't even been the worst news for Gansler in the past couple of weeks.  They're the ones that have made the national news, because they're titillating, but I think lots of voters would have considerable sympathy for a parent who tried, in cooperation with other parents, to let kids "blow off steam" in what is an annual rite of passage for HS graduates in this area, while protecting the kids from the worst consequences of their actions.

    But what got nearly as much publicity in the local press, and I think will be even more damaging, was the story about how he had ordered the State Troopers who were assigned to drive his official vehicle and provide security for him, to turn on the red lights and siren in non-emergency situations and speed, drive on the shoulder and run red lights.  NOBODY has any understanding for that kind of conduct, which fairly screams, "I don't think the rules that apply to everybody else apply to me!"  It was so bad that the State Troopers filed a complaint with their supervisor about the bad position in which this was placing them.

    And then just this week, he finally got around to writing a $400 check to pay fines (plus late fees) incurred by his state vehicle getting caught exceeding the speed limit by 21 mph on a D.C. speed camera.

    Bin Laden is dead. GM and Chrysler are alive.

    by leevank on Fri Oct 25, 2013 at 08:02:25 AM PDT

  •  TX-23 (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Gygaxian, Odysseus

      If folks haven't been following this - the challenger for this district is the TP Candidate from 2010 - Canseco, who lost to Pete in 2012.
        The vote was close and Canseco said that the reason that he lost was Voter Fraud - and after pissing around for about a week, then he quietly gave up his seat.

         Pete Gallego was supported by LCV in 2012.   Here's hoping that they help again.   Canseco has an Anti-Woman Rights history - so hopefully, we can remind folks of that...yeah he is follows the Virginia Foxx agenda, sigh!

  •  no uncontested seats, baby! (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Odysseus

    Politics is like driving. To go backward put it in R. To go forward put it in D.
    Drop by The Grieving Room on Monday nights for support in dealing with grief.

    by TrueBlueMajority on Fri Oct 25, 2013 at 08:29:51 AM PDT

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