Where Did All the Votes in Ohio Go?

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Thursday November 06, 2008 · 1:05 PM PST

2008/11/06 · 13:05

In 2004, about 5,628,000 voters in Ohio cast ballots for President. In 2008, with a huge GOTV effort and a push to register hundreds of thousands new voters, that tally has reached 5,296,000 with 100% of precincts reporting.

More than 300,000 votes less than in 2004. We can look at specific counties.

billysumday

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Monday November 03, 2008 · 2:30 PM PST

2008/11/03 · 14:30

New SUSA poll out for the PA 11th district shows Lou Barletta (R) beating Paul Kanjorski (D) 51-45, and shows Obama leading McCain in the same district, 53-43.

Though this is bad news for Kanjorski, I can't help but think that this is pretty decent news for Obama, as the 11th district encompasses Scranton, Wilkes-Barre, Hazelton, and Berwick.

billysumday

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Sunday November 02, 2008 · 6:23 AM PST

2008/11/02 · 06:23

Wow. It's getting ugly here in Central Pennsylvania. I've been watching morning news and MTP here in the State College/Altoona/Johnstown region, and hoo-boy. Reverend Wright is making a miraculous comeback. Barack Obama will destroy our military. Joe Biden thinks that Obama will signal the death of America. A small businessman addresses the camera and tells me that he can't hire 30 new employees because Barack Obama is a naive commutarian who wants to kill enterprise. Multiple Joes the Plumber remind me that my taxes will go up and Obama wants to kill my puppy.

Jesus H. on a stick, people, we are getting slammed.

billysumday

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Tuesday October 21, 2008 · 5:32 AM PDT

2008/10/21 · 05:32

It comes down to two things: Jeremiah Wright and no early voting.

McCain is reasonably giving up on states where Obama is ahead by 6 or 7 or even more points and where early voting has started. They realize that Obama is banking votes at a high rate - people are enthusiastic to vote and are willing to wait 2 or 3 hours in line. But Pennsylvania is a different story because it has no early voting and is, if you listen to some people, more susceptible to racial and cultural wedge issues. Also, Pennsylvania has a large youth and African American population that might - might - not come out to vote in large numbers. I really doubt that African Americans will find excuses to stay home on election day, but I'm guessing that that is what McCain is counting on, along with a suppressed youth turnout. If McCain can get the polls down to 5 points or less, he has a chance to pull an upset.

billysumday

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Saturday October 18, 2008 · 11:18 AM PDT

2008/10/18 · 11:18

Per Ben Smith, a large crowd of 100,000 communist sympathizers and child molesters has assembled in a very anti-American part of America, St. Louis, to see Socialist Senator Barack Obama deliver another diatribe against hard-working billionaires and "real Americans."

billysumday

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Tuesday October 14, 2008 · 8:00 AM PDT

2008/10/14 · 08:00

Alternative Title: John McCain: You, Sir, Are an Idiot

So, about a week ago it seemed obvious that a clear tactic of the Obama campaign was to deliberately and openly taunt John McCain on the fact that he didn't bring up Bill Ayers in the second debate. The Obama people, as well as the McCain people, know that the Ayers kerfluffle is nothing but a campaign stunt, and so the Obama campaign, and television surrogates, went to the airwaves and called him out on it.

Even Biden got in on it, essentially taking a Dirty Harry approach and saying, in more words or less: "Hey punk. You got something to say to Barack, then say it to his face."

Frankly, this is a brilliant tactical move, and I'm surprised to see that John McCain has so stupidly, and blindly, fallen into the trap. As Halperin notes, McCain is now saying that is probably assured to be a topic at the debate on Wednesday, and then goes on to say that it's because of Obama's call out - in McCain's words: "I was astonished to hear him say that he was surprised I didn’t have the guts."

billysumday

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Monday October 13, 2008 · 10:12 AM PDT

2008/10/13 · 10:12

Greg Sargent is reporting that Sarah Palin is holding a rally in the typically deep red state of Indiana on Friday. The fact is, Indiana (and Indy in particular) has Obama-fever, and the only prescription is more cowbell; not, coincidentally, more Sarah Palin. And since the good people of Indiana prefer electing decent folk to public office, and because they like transparency, and forthrightness, then I say that there is no better time or place to hold a Sarah Palin press conference than during her rally.

What's that? What if she doesn't agree to do it? Why, then, just set up your own podium, your own sound system, your own cameras and lights, and hold a press conference anyway. Right outside the doors of the Sarah Palin rally. And if she still chooses not to come? Well, by golly, get somebody who looks like Sarah Palin to do the press conference instead. Gee wilikers, wouldn't that be special?

billysumday

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Saturday October 04, 2008 · 11:03 AM PDT

2008/10/04 · 11:03

If not now, then when? If not you, then who?

You know what today is, right? October 4. You know when the election is, right? November 4. So maybe you've said to yourself, "Of course I'll give some money at some point to Barack Obama. But he doesn't seem to need it . . . yet." Or maybe you've given before and are waiting for another "reason" to do it. The next debate. An especially negative McCain attack ad. Another Palin gaffe. Cubs winning the World Series (damn you, you insufferable chokers!!)

Well guess what - time is running out. Obama needs our money now, not tomorrow. Because tomorrow turns into next week, next week turns into next month, and next month . . . we'll have a new President.

Poll

22 votes Show Results

What are you going to sacrifice to give Obama more money?

22 votes Vote Now!

What are you going to sacrifice to give Obama more money?

Hammacher Schlemmer nose hair trimmer ($25)

4 votes

Mary Kay Cosmetics gift certificate ($50)

4 votes

30-minute Deep Tissue Massage ($75)

1 vote

Your monthly drug habit ($100)

8 votes

One of those weird crystal balls with the crazy laser beams in it ($150)

0 votes

Round trip flight to Vegas ($250)

1 vote

Vintage Curta mechanical calculator ($500)

2 votes

Outdoor inflatable jacuzzi ($1000)

1 vote

Indoor Wallyball court (MAXED OUT!!)

1 vote

In Which the McCain Campaign Gets it SO EFFING Wrong Again

billysumday

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Thursday October 02, 2008 · 1:57 PM PDT

2008/10/02 · 13:57

Let's see. McCain's goal in the first presidential debate was to make Obama look like a naive, dangerous, inexperienced dilettante who was completely out of his league. Well that was stupid of them. Because all Obama had to do was look Presidential, speak confidently and comfortably and assuredly of a whole host of issues, and voila, Obama wins the debate. The McCain campaign really misfired on the expectations game - they should have been promoting the fact that obviously Obama would look good and confident, but, you know, can you trust anything he says? As it was, Obama cleared the bar, McCain looked like an angry old man, and now we see Obama climbing in the polls. The same stupid stupidness is manifesting again in the McCain camp and they are setting themselves up for such a spectacular blowblack of negative energy I can't believe they haven't figured this out yet...

billysumday

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Monday September 29, 2008 · 7:40 AM PDT

2008/09/29 · 07:40

My parents live in a small, rural town in Northern Indiana that has traditionally been, and presumably still is, incredibly Republican. Local elections are held in the primary while the general election is a simply a celebration for the Republican candidate. The people there are patriotic, very religious, and socially conservative, yet also are very kind and sensible. Having never voted for a Democrat for President in their lives, both of my parents are leaning toward Obama. So are a good number of their friends. If you have been wondering why Indiana may possibly go blue this year, my parents represent a quintessential Hoosierness and it is no surprise to me why Obama appeals to them. I'll try to lay it for you, chronologically.

billysumday

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Wednesday September 24, 2008 · 12:48 PM PDT

2008/09/24 · 12:48

billysumday

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Tuesday September 23, 2008 · 6:45 AM PDT

2008/09/23 · 06:45

I recently moved to Pennsylvania from Ohio, and have done a small amount of canvassing and phone banking here. Even though I'm living in an Obama stronghold (State College - home of Penn State), there is still a good amount of McCain support. Especially after the Palin pick - the number of yard signs shot up dramatically around here, though they are still quite outnumbered by Obama signs.

One area of concern that I have, though, is the prevailing sentiment of distrust that voters in industrial areas like Erie, Johnstown, Scranton, and Wilkes-Barre have toward Obama. Could it cost Obama the election in this state? I don't know. But if you look at the results of the 2004 election, one can see that John Kerry enjoyed really decent support in those areas.

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